Review Article

Medical Diagnostic Tests: A Review of Test Anatomy, Phases, and Statistical Treatment of Data

Table 8

Standard statistic indicators used to evaluate diagnostic accuracy.

Statistic (Abb)FormulaRemarks

Sensitivity (Se)TP/(TP + FN)(i) The highest the Se, the smallest the number of false negative results
(ii) High Se:
 (a) a negative result rules-out (SnNOUT)
 (b) suitable for screening (ruling-out)

Specificity (Sp)TN/(TN + FP)(i) The highest the Se, the smallest the number of false-positive results
(ii) High Sp:
 (a) a positive result rules-in (SpPIN)
 (b) It is suitable for diagnosis (ruling-in)

Accuracy index (AI)(TP + TN)/(TP + FP + FN + TN)(i) Give information regarding the cases with the right diagnosis
(ii) It is difficult to convert its value to a tangible clinical concept
(iii) It is affected by the prevalence of the disease

Youden’s index (J) [159]Se + Sp − 1(i) Sums the cases wrongly classified by the diagnostic test
(ii) Assess the overall performance of the test. J = 0, if the proportion of positive tests is the same in the group with/without the disease. J = 1, if no FPs or FNs exist
(iii) Misleading interpretation in comparison of the effectiveness of two tests
(iv) Used to identify the best cutoff on ROC analysis: its maximum value corresponds to the highest distance from diagonal

Positive predictive value (PPV)TP/(TP + FP)(i) Answer the question “what is the chance that a person with a positive test truly has the disease?”
(ii) Clinical applicability for a particular subject with a positive test result
(iii) It is affected by the prevalence of the disease

Negative predictive value (NPV)TN/(TN + FN)(i) Answer the question “what is the chance that a person with a negative test truly not to have the disease?”
(ii) Clinical applicability for a particular subject with a negative test result
(iii) It is affected by the prevalence of the disease

Positive likelihood ratio (PLR/LR+)Se/(1 − Sp)(i) Indicates how much the odds of the disease increase when a test is positive (indicator to rule-in)
(ii) PLR (the higher, the better)
 (a) > 10 ⟶ convincing diagnostic evidence
 (b) 5 < PLR < 10 ⟶ strong diagnostic evidence

Negative likelihood ratio (NLR/LR−)(1 − Se)/Sp(i) Indicates how much the odds of the disease decrease when a test is negative (indicator to rule-out)
(ii) NLR (the lower, the better)
 (a)  < 0.1 ⟶ convincing diagnostic evidence
 (b) 0.2 < PLR < 0.1 ⟶ strong diagnostic evidence
Diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) [160](TP/FN)/(FP/TN)
[Se/(1 − Se)]/[(1 − Sp)/Sp]
[PPV/(1 − PPV)]/[(1 − NPV)/NPV]
PLR/NLR
(i) High DOR indicates a better diagnostic test performance (ranges from 0 to infinite). A value of 1 indicates a test not able to discriminate between those with and those without the disease
(ii) Combines the strengths of Se and Sp
(iii) Useful to compare different diagnostic tests
(iv) Not so useful when the aim is to rules-in or rules-out
(v) Convenient indicator in the meta-analysis

Posttest odds (PTO)
Posttest probability (PTP)
Pretest odds (prevalence/(1 − prevalence)) × LR
PTO/(PTO + 1)
(i) Gives the odds that the patient has to the target disorder after the test is carried out
(ii) Gives the proportion of patients with that particular test result who have the target disorder

All indicators excepting J are reported with associated 95% confidence intervals; ROC = receiver-operating characteristic; patient-centered indicator; TP = true positive; FP = false positive; FN = false negative; TN = true negative; and PPV and NPV depend on the prevalence (to be used only if (no. of subjects with disease)/(no. of patients without disease) is equivalent with the prevalence of the disease in the studied population).