Modelling the Potential Impact of Social Distancing on the COVID-19 Epidemic in South Africa

<div>The graph shows COVID-19 model fitting for the cumulative infected cases for various scenarios. The trajectories for different levels of social distancing are shown by the different line types. The red dots are the cumulative reported number of COVID-19 cases in South Africa before the lockdown and two weeks after the lockdown. The red vertical line denotes the time when a lockdown was implemented by the government with a delay of one data point as the reported cases represent posterior data. 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Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine

fig9

Figure 9

Figure 9: Modelling the Potential Impact of Social Distancing on the COVID-19 Epidemic in South Africa 