Research Article

Modelling the Potential Impact of Social Distancing on the COVID-19 Epidemic in South Africa

Table 1

Parameters of the SEIR model for South Africa and their values.

SymbolParameter descriptionValue (range)(dayāˆ’1)Source

Effective contact rate1.0598 (0.9011-1.400)Data fit
Progression rate0.5 (0.2-0.6)[35]
Recovery rate0.4345 (0.2-0.5)[33, 35]
Social distancing parameter(0, 1)By definition
Proportion of exposed immigrants(0, 1)By definition
Daily rate of immigration11 244 (10 000-25 000)[41]