A Mathematical Description of the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): A Case Study of Brazil

<table class="table-group" id="tab4"><tr><td><table class="table"><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="2"><hr/></td></tr><tr class="thead"><td class="align_left">Parameter</td><td class="align_center">Value</td></tr><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="2"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 17.2766ptpx;"><svg height="16.584pt" id="M48" style="vertical-align:-4.0179pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -12.5661 17.2766 16.584" width="17.2766pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M558 587C558 666 497 712 432 712C379 712 330 691 284 650C212 586 178 508 148 348L71 -65C49 -185 35 -229 23 -235L27 -261C49 -259 101 -251 124 -224C131 -216 138 -178 159 -24C171 66 197 200 227 356C264 550 295 668 393 668C443 668 479 632 479 575C479 516 446 458 383 418C361 404 344 398 318 397L296 350C395 338 460 281 460 192C460 110 411 40 300 40C258 40 215 55 192 69L181 51C191 18 222 -16 266 -16C308 -16 351 1 397 26C471 67 545 142 545 221C545 315 486 365 401 395C469 437 558 498 558 587Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.554,-6.049)"><path d="M309 -142C211 -61 151 99 151 271S210 601 309 683L288 710C141 611 75 451 75 272V271C75 90 141 -72 288 -169L309 -142Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,10.812,-6.049)"><path d="M250 606C250 634 233 656 203 656C168 656 146 618 146 593C146 564 169 545 192 545C227 545 250 573 250 606ZM227 95L212 119C187 98 152 71 135 71C129 71 128 78 134 102L207 373C219 418 217 451 194 451C165 451 92 411 30 351L44 326C77 353 106 371 114 371C124 371 121 357 117 341L55 97C32 5 46 -12 70 -12C108 -12 191 51 227 95Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,13.36,-6.049)"><path d="M283 271C283 451 220 610 70 710L48 683C146 603 207 443 207 271S149 -59 48 -142L70 -169C220 -67 283 90 283 271Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.228,3.858)"><path d="M245 635C92 635 37 457 37 312C37 149 91 -12 244 -12C395 -12 449 166 449 312C449 469 395 635 245 635ZM243 598C332 598 358 454 358 312C358 173 334 26 245 26C158 26 128 174 128 313S152 598 243 598Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">[0.594, 1.1]</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 19.8981ptpx;"><svg height="19.4887pt" id="M49" style="vertical-align:-6.922601pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -12.5661 19.8981 19.4887" width="19.8981pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M620 675H597C578 656 570 650 541 650H144C112 650 104 653 94 675H72C59 618 42 552 23 493L53 491C71 534 88 564 105 585C124 608 144 615 238 615H290L197 121C182 40 174 34 88 28L82 0H361L367 28C275 34 266 38 281 121L374 615H441C522 615 543 608 553 583C562 560 566 531 565 493L597 494C603 551 612 629 620 675Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.285,-6.049)"><path d="M309 -142C211 -61 151 99 151 271S210 601 309 683L288 710C141 611 75 451 75 272V271C75 90 141 -72 288 -169L309 -142Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,11.543,-6.049)"><path d="M389 0V32C297 38 291 46 291 118V635C234 613 175 595 109 583V556L161 554C203 552 207 547 207 497V118C207 46 201 38 110 32V0H389Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,15.975,-6.049)"><path d="M283 271C283 451 220 610 70 710L48 683C146 603 207 443 207 271S149 -59 48 -142L70 -169C220 -67 283 90 283 271Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.176,4.525)"><path d="M563 583C563 664 501 710 433 710C381 710 334 692 285 648C212 582 178 506 149 350L74 -56C49 -190 36 -222 24 -226L30 -257C52 -256 95 -247 121 -229C131 -222 134 -206 165 -21L219 303C254 510 296 665 397 665C447 665 481 626 481 572C481 512 446 457 390 420C367 405 351 400 323 397L302 349C398 338 466 285 466 197C466 117 419 45 306 45C268 45 224 59 198 74L186 50C197 20 228 -14 274 -14C318 -14 359 3 401 26C478 68 554 144 554 225C554 322 493 367 412 396C490 446 563 500 563 583Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0065,0,0,-0.0065,12.29,6.626)"><path d="M455 312C455 472 400 635 248 635C95 635 39 458 39 312C39 144 93 -12 248 -12C400 -12 455 166 455 312ZM361 314C361 173 337 30 249 30C163 30 131 174 131 313C131 451 155 594 248 594C334 594 361 454 361 314Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">22 days</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 23.1459ptpx;"><svg height="16.8946pt" id="M50" style="vertical-align:-4.3285pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -12.5661 23.1459 16.8946" width="23.1459pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M620 675H597C578 656 570 650 541 650H144C112 650 104 653 94 675H72C59 618 42 552 23 493L53 491C71 534 88 564 105 585C124 608 144 615 238 615H290L197 121C182 40 174 34 88 28L82 0H361L367 28C275 34 266 38 281 121L374 615H441C522 615 543 608 553 583C562 560 566 531 565 493L597 494C603 551 612 629 620 675Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.285,-6.049)"><path d="M309 -142C211 -61 151 99 151 271S210 601 309 683L288 710C141 611 75 451 75 272V271C75 90 141 -72 288 -169L309 -142Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,11.543,-6.049)"><path d="M389 0V32C297 38 291 46 291 118V635C234 613 175 595 109 583V556L161 554C203 552 207 547 207 497V118C207 46 201 38 110 32V0H389Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,15.975,-6.049)"><path d="M283 271C283 451 220 610 70 710L48 683C146 603 207 443 207 271S149 -59 48 -142L70 -169C220 -67 283 90 283 271Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,7.176,4.151)"><path d="M692 302H438V274C537 267 543 260 543 188V103C543 61 531 48 511 37C489 26 458 20 424 20C231 20 146 188 146 333C146 517 258 630 411 630C507 630 582 597 606 474L634 480C627 546 622 601 619 636C586 643 510 665 426 665C230 665 44 552 44 321C44 122 191 -15 411 -15C491 -15 573 7 635 21C629 49 628 81 628 116V202C628 261 632 266 692 274V302Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,13.756,4.151)"><path d="M257 449C165 449 37 374 37 209C37 98 119 -12 256 -12C355 -12 473 65 473 226C473 349 381 449 257 449ZM244 416C333 416 380 320 380 204C380 67 329 21 267 21C184 21 130 115 130 241C130 354 184 416 244 416Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,18.25,4.151)"><path d="M478 437H300V411C357 404 363 393 347 345C325 280 293 190 258 107C229 178 188 284 163 354C147 397 149 405 203 411V437H-2V411C52 403 59 396 82 339C130 222 176 109 220 -11H248C304 138 356 261 390 336C417 395 425 404 478 411V437Z"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">22 days</td></tr><tr class="table-tr"><td colspan="2"><hr class="tbody-hr"/></td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

<div>Model parameters for the transmission rate of Italy.</div>

Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine

tab4

Table 4

Table 4: A Mathematical Description of the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): A Case Study of Brazil 