COVID-19 Pandemic Data Modeling in Pakistan Using Time-Series SIR

Table 8

Comparison of different prior and likelihood distributions of .

Prior distribution	Log-likelihood distribution	Waves			RSS
Uniform	Poisson	1	1.0656	0.9709	116,725,361
		2	1.0413	0.7637	29,235,687
		3	1.0561	0.8080	30,256,324
		4	1.0507	1.2175	21,548,964
Normal	Normal	1	1.0656	0.9709	119,623,567
		2	1.0413	0.7637	30,887,555
		3	1.0561	0.8080	31,998,541
		4	1.0507	1.2175	21,999,219
Poisson	Poisson	1	1.0656	0.9709	121,938,652
		2	1.0413	0.7637	31,658,742
		3	1.0561	0.8080	32,526,487
		4	1.0507	1.2175	23,145,985