The Portfolio Balanced Risk Index Model and Analysis of Examples of Large-Scale Infrastructure Project

Table 9

Single risk factor parameter and coefficient of the HZMB in initial construction stage.

Stages	Sequence	Risk factor	Probability coefficient	Objective severity coefficient	Subjective feeling coefficient	Single risk factor parameter
Initial construction stage	1	Risk of being poorly designed (R11)	0.43	0.73	1.14	0.36
	2	Innovation risk (R12)	0.50	0.70	1.02	0.36
	3	Risk of nontimely funding(R21)	0.42	0.83	1.22	0.43
	4	The risk of rising costs (R22)	0.64	0.65	0.92	0.38
	5	The risk of regional system differences (R31)	0.56	0.47	0.82	0.22
	6	The public against risks (R32)	0.31	0.74	1.33	0.31
	7	Typhoon risk (R41)	0.69	0.81	1.29	0.72
	8	Earthquake risk (R42)	0.21	0.95	1.56	0.31
	9	Chloride salt corrosion risk (R43)	0.54	0.65	1.03	0.36
	10	Schedule control risk (R51)	0.58	0.55	0.97	0.31
	11	Quality management risk (R52)	0.37	0.90	1.44	0.48
	12	Safety management risk (R53)	0.41	0.83	1.36	0.46
	13	Legal conflict or blind area risk (R61)	0.42	0.71	1.05	0.31