An Application of the Coherent Noise Model for the Prediction of Aftershock Magnitude Time Series

Figure 11

Receiver Operating Characteristics (red squares) when using as a predictor for for the aftershock time series of the second Superstition Hills, the Big Bear aftershock, the first Superstition Hills, and the Joshua Tree EQs, respectively. In each case, the colored contours present the value to obtain by chance an ROC curve based on -ellipses [95]; the -ellipses with %, 5%, and 1% are also shown.

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