An Application of the Coherent Noise Model for the Prediction of Aftershock Magnitude Time Series

Figure 14

Results obtained when focusing on the first 24 hours after the mainshock with time variable threshold from the analysis of the four stronger ((a), (b)) and the four smaller ((c), (d)) EQs by ROC diagrams. Panels (a) and (c) depict AUC versus while (b) and (d) depict the corresponding values.

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(b)

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(d)