An Application of the Coherent Noise Model for the Prediction of Aftershock Magnitude Time Series

Figure 3

Schematic diagram of the threshold distribution function after the th avalanche in the coherent noise model with : for (solid red), (dashed green) exhibiting a single step at , (dashed blue) with two steps at , 0.2, and (dotted magenta) with a single step at . The stress levels , , and have been applied during the first, second, and third “stress” step, respectively. The value of has been used.