An Application of the Coherent Noise Model for the Prediction of Aftershock Magnitude Time Series

Figure 8

Receiver Operating Characteristics (red squares) when using as a predictor for for the aftershock time series of Landers, El Mayor-Cucapah, Hector Mine, and Northridge EQs, respectively. In each case, the colored contours present the value to obtain by chance an ROC curve based on -ellipses [95]; the -ellipses with %, 5%, and 1% are also shown.

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