Research Article

A Two-Stage Regularization Method for Variable Selection and Forecasting in High-Order Interaction Model

Table 1

The statistical performance of TSSRHR, TSLASSO, TSSCAD, and TSSRL. The performances are measured by number of nonzero elements of main effects, two-way interactions, three-way interactions, MSE (×100), RMSE (×100), and computational costs (CC, in seconds, unless otherwise specified).

Nz()Nz()Nz()MSERMSECCNz()Nz()Nz()MSERMSECC
Scenario 1Scenario 2

TSSRHR3.001.003.0093.4796.6810.62TSSRHR3.001.005.0082.7191.135.82
TSLASSO5.0059.503505.50145.72119.136.94TSLASSO7.0046.003596.00156.48124.124.12
TSSCAD2.001.008.00127.40112.9218.77TSSCAD14.0021.503678.00185.49132.8120.73
TSSRL3.000.001.00102.71101.365.26TSSRL2.000.004.0086.7891.988.13

Nz()Nz()Nz()MSERMSECCNz()Nz()Nz()MSERMSECC
Scenario 3Scenario 4

TSSRHR2.001.006.0080.2189.3811.72TSSRHR3.000.000.0087.9293.1320.46
TSLASSO12.0020.004796.00137.54117.134.32TSLASSO35.000.0031458.00264.13161.8111.12
TSSCAD4.000.0015.00101.92100.8319.72TSSCAD19.000.006661.00237.35152.5152.15
TSSRL2.000.001.0088.8693.5325.43TSSRL2.000.001.0096.9297.431215.93

Nz()Nz()Nz()MSERMSECCNz()Nz()Nz()MSERMSECC
Scenario 5Scenario 6

TSSRHR3.000.004.00413.85200.944.21TSSRHR3.000.004.00418.72205.194.92
TSLASSO6.007.0094.00533.48228.123.98TSLASSO5.002.0050.50438.59207.144.01
TSSCAD3.002.506.00470.83215.9420.15TSSCAD6.001.0094.00473.21216.8325.13
TSSRL3.000.001.00468.10215.182.13TSSRL2.000.003.00428.13206.893.72

Nz()Nz()Nz()MSERMSECCNz()Nz()Nz()MSERMSECC
Scenario 7Scenario 8

TSSRHR2.000.003.00405.13201.9810.98TSSRHR3.000.002.00407.95201.3428.13
TSLASSO5.000.0077.50436.82207.924.35TSLASSO16.000.001195.50870.94294.487.19
TSSCAD9.0028.00451.50434.12206.1530.95TSSCAD28.000.0029113454.79211.8372.49
TSSRL2.000.001.00430.93205.733.43TSSRL2.000.001.00445.23209.891529.38

Nz()Nz()Nz()MSERMSECCNz()Nz()Nz()MSERMSECC
Scenario 9Scenario 10

TSSRHR3.001.004.00147.33121.3814.03TSSRHR3.001.003.00142.62119.4219.66
TSLASSO3.001.0012.00194.07139.314.09TSLASSO4.000.0019.00183.93135.626.28
TSSCAD3.004.0018.00195.77139.928.73TSSCAD3.001.0015.00165.67128.7114.62
TSSRL3.000.003.00183.71135.542.84TSSRL3.000.003.00174.79132.213.91