Research Article
Modeling Chickenpox Dynamics with a Discrete Time Bayesian Stochastic Compartmental Model
Table 2
Fitting and forecast RMSE for the proposed model and four alternative formulations of the SEIR model: a stochastic model in discrete time with a deterministic seasonal transmission rate, a deterministic model in discrete time with a seasonal transmission rate, and two deterministic continuous-time formulations, one with heterogeneous and the other with homogeneous mixing of individuals.
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