Research Article
The Application of Macroprudential Capital Requirements in Managing Systemic Risk
Table 5
Probabilities of Basic and contagious default in 2008.
| Bank | Basel equal | Component VaR | Incremental VaR | Shapley value EL | ΔCOVAR |
| Basic default probabilities | | | | | | Access bank | 0.0546 | 0.0546 | 0.0329 | 0.0403 | 0.0546 | Diamond bank | 0.1342 | 0.1342 | 0.1342 | 0.1342 | 0.0234 | Fbn holdings | 0.0949 | 0.0949 | 0.0949 | 0.0949 | 0.0949 | Fidelity bank | 0.0783 | 0.0783 | 0.0783 | 0.0783 | 0.0033 | Guaranty bank | 0.1349 | 0.1349 | 0.1349 | 0.1349 | 0.1256 | Skye bank | 0.1418 | 0.1418 | 0.0986 | 0.1198 | 0.0837 | Sterling bank | 0.1247 | 0.1247 | 0.1247 | 0.1247 | 0 | Union bank of Nigeria | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0 | 0.0001 | 0.0031 | United bank of Africa | 0.1057 | 0.0002 | 0.1057 | 0.0982 | 0.1057 | Zenith international bank | 0.0504 | 0.0504 | 0.0504 | 0.0504 | 0.0504 |
| Average | 0.09275 | 0.0822 | 0.08546 | 0.08758 | 0.05447 |
| Contagion default probabilities | | | | | | Access bank | 0.0006 | 0.0006 | 0.0003 | 0.0002 | 0.0006 | Diamond bank | 0.0002 | 0.0002 | 0.0002 | 0.0002 | 0.0004 | Fbn holdings | 0.0003 | 0.0003 | 0.0003 | 0.0003 | 0.0003 | Fidelity bank | 0.0004 | 0.0004 | 0.0004 | 0.0004 | 0 | Guaranty bank | 0.0007 | 0.0007 | 0.0007 | 0.0007 | 0.0012 | Skye bank | 0.0004 | 0.0004 | 0.0005 | 0.0003 | 0.0008 | Sterling bank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Union bank of Nigeria | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0 | 0 | 0.0001 | United bank of Africa | 0.0008 | 0 | 0.0008 | 0.0004 | 0.0008 | Zenith international bank | 0.0007 | 0.0007 | 0.0007 | 0.0007 | 0.0007 |
| Average | 0.00042 | 0.00034 | 0.00039 | 0.00032 | 0.00049 |
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