Using Multiple Criteria Optimization and Two-Stage Genetic Algorithms to Select a Population Management Strategy with Optimized Reliability

Figure 3

Reliability over time of typical consumption strategies. The dots represent the estimated reliability for individual units used at the end of each year. The dashed curve shows the posterior mean estimate of the expected success rate (i.e., average reliability of 50 units used in each time interval) over the four years. The vertical intervals in red show the 90% credible interval of the expected success rate for each year.