Research Article
A Novel Power-Driven Grey Model with Whale Optimization Algorithm and Its Application in Forecasting the Residential Energy Consumption in China
Table 11
Fitted and predicted results of various grey models in Case 1.
| Year | Real data | GM(1,1) | Error (%) | ARGM | Error (%) | DGM | Error (%) | NGM | Error (%) | NIGM | Error (%) | FGM(1,1) | Error (%) | SAIGM | Error (%) | GM(1,1,) | Error (%) |
| 2005 | 27573 | 27573 | 0 | 27573 | 0 | 27573 | 0 | 27573 | 0 | 27058.56265 | −1.865728606 | 27573 | 0 | 27573 | 0 | 27573 | 0 | 2006 | 27765 | 27978.32853 | 0.768336125 | 29005.12306 | 4.47E + 00 | 27991.46972 | 0.815666186 | 15193.77532 | −45.27723636 | 28538.6003 | 2.786242738 | 28291.15519 | 1.895030383 | 28213.87712 | 1.616701298 | 28590.2434 | 2.972243475 | 2007 | 30814 | 29952.57086 | −2.795577125 | 30630.24572 | −0.596333737 | 29966.86358 | −2.749193289 | 26179.55591 | −15.04006001 | 30206.15237 | −1.972634606 | 29924.47954 | −2.886741277 | 29999.16318 | −2.644372115 | 30669.18209 | −0.4699744 | 2008 | 31898 | 32066.1222 | 0.527061881 | 32474.3775 | 1.806939309 | 32081.66352 | 0.575783803 | 32092.74897 | 0.610536628 | 32084.97616 | 0.5861689 | 31901.97945 | 0.012475549 | 31981.14675 | 0.260664469 | 32845.45897 | 2.970277048 | 2009 | 33843 | 34328.81263 | 1.435489247 | 34567.03309 | 2.139388033 | 34345.7076 | 1.485410853 | 35275.57717 | 4.233008816 | 34201.83887 | 1.060304543 | 34142.0597 | 0.883667805 | 34181.49939 | 1.000205036 | 35111.28887 | 3.747566316 | 2010 | 36470 | 36751.16589 | 0.770951158 | 36941.70473 | 1.293404786 | 36769.52816 | 0.821300144 | 36988.76246 | 1.422436136 | 36586.89902 | 0.320534735 | 36622.63513 | 0.418522422 | 36624.28035 | 0.423033577 | 37455.11423 | 2.70E + 00 | 2011 | 39584 | 39344.44832 | −0.605173011 | 39636.3982 | 0.132372173 | 39364.40085 | −0.554767454 | 37910.89951 | −4.22670899 | 39274.13608 | −0.782800938 | 39341.62499 | −0.612305507 | 39336.19965 | −0.626011396 | 39860.69337 | 0.699003063 | 2012 | 42306 | 42120.72123 | −0.437949155 | 42694.24116 | 0.917697623 | 42142.39703 | −0.386713401 | 38407.2479 | −9.215600867 | 42301.83456 | −0.009845972 | 42306 | 1.14E − 08 | 42346.91016 | 0.096700621 | 42305.99989 | −2.61E − 07 | 2013 | 45531 | 45092.89704 | −0.962208079 | 46164.17331 | 1.390642227 | 45116.43995 | −0.910500641 | 38674.41178 | −15.05916456 | 45713.12948 | 0.400012041 | 45527.84857 | −0.006921508 | 45689.33182 | 0.347745099 | 44761.89622 | −1.689187102 | 2014 | 47212 | 48274.79929 | 2.251121097 | 50101.72973 | 6.120752634 | 48300.3649 | 2.305271744 | 38818.21509 | −17.77892253 | 49556.62086 | 4.966154493 | 49022.73478 | 3.835327421 | 49400.01157 | 4.634439477 | 47190.53749 | −0.045459867 | 2015 | 50099 | 51681.22697 | 3.158200705 | 54569.92965 | 8.924189408 | 51708.9835 | 3.213604062 | 38895.61849 | −22.36248529 | 53887.06613 | 7.56116117 | 52808.95862 | 5.409207009 | 53519.52298 | 6.827527459 | 49543.45316 | −1.108898065 |
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