Research Article
A Novel Power-Driven Grey Model with Whale Optimization Algorithm and Its Application in Forecasting the Residential Energy Consumption in China
Table 8
Fitted and predicted results of various grey models in Example B.
| Year | Real data | GM(1,1) | Error (%) | ARGM | Error (%) | DGM | Error (%) | NGM | Error (%) | NIGM | Error (%) | FGM(1,1) | Error (%) | SAIGM | Error (%) | GM(1,1,) | Error (%) |
| 2008 | 320611 | 320611 | 0 | 320611 | 0 | 320611 | 0 | 320611 | 0 | 311679.0155 | −2.785925775 | 320611 | 0 | 320611 | 0 | 320611 | 0 | 2009 | 336126 | 349189.7029 | 3.886549367 | 344430.113 | 2.47E + 00 | 349311.5014 | 3.922785319 | 195251.0697 | −41.91134582 | 343554.0921 | 2.209912975 | 336126 | −6.09E − 09 | 334656.6702 | −0.437136603 | 302216.2049 | −10.08841777 | 2010 | 360648 | 363180.4997 | 0.70220817 | 364871.1079 | 1.17097776 | 363285.296 | 0.731265934 | 324553.7721 | −10.00815973 | 368260.8022 | 2.110867706 | 362542.7915 | 0.525385288 | 363846.1266 | 0.886772319 | 336515.6299 | −6.691391627 | 2011 | 387043 | 377731.8583 | −2.405712472 | 382413.0823 | −1.196228253 | 377818.0957 | −2.383431369 | 378605.0893 | −2.18009644 | 387411.2353 | 0.095140671 | 384858.2814 | −0.564464039 | 385905.0726 | −0.294005419 | 363964.4755 | −5.962780493 | 2012 | 402138 | 392866.2383 | −2.305616897 | 397467.1865 | −1.161495191 | 392932.263 | −2.289198485 | 401199.7052 | −0.233326558 | 402254.9392 | 0.029079382 | 402143.1792 | 0.001287911 | 402575.3761 | 0.108762691 | 386004.0797 | −4.012035752 | 2013 | 416913 | 408606.9995 | −1.992262303 | 410386.2597 | −1.565492142 | 408651.0547 | −1.981695294 | 410644.7418 | −1.503493099 | 413760.4517 | −0.756164554 | 414991.5431 | −0.46087718 | 415173.395 | −0.417258508 | 403772.8105 | −3.15E + 00 | 2014 | 425806 | 424978.4373 | −0.194352063 | 421473.1004 | −1.017575986 | 424998.6581 | −0.189603218 | 414592.9707 | −2.633365728 | 422678.4964 | −0.734490251 | 424176.7152 | −0.382635476 | 424693.9224 | −0.261170013 | 418169.7514 | −1.793363307 | 2015 | 429905 | 442005.8207 | 2.814766209 | 430987.5627 | 0.251814401 | 442000.2281 | 2.813465333 | 416243.4155 | −3.177814742 | 429590.9676 | −0.073046936 | 430405.4018 | 0.116398218 | 431888.7395 | 0.461436707 | 429905.0001 | 1.97E − 08 | 2016 | 435819 | 459715.4311 | 5.483109076 | 439152.6474 | 0.764915571 | 459681.9259 | 5.475421199 | 416933.337 | −4.333373018 | 434948.8973 | −0.199647723 | 434274.3904 | −0.354415389 | 437325.9795 | 0.345781049 | 439539.3936 | 0.853655668 | 2017 | 448529.1 | 478134.6031 | 6.600575768 | 446159.7284 | −0.528253708 | 478070.9591 | 6.58638629 | 417221.7391 | −6.980006624 | 439101.8855 | −2.101806668 | 436274.3346 | −2.732211883 | 441434.99 | −1.581638728 | 447515.8839 | −0.225897516 | 2018 | 464000 | 497291.7661 | 7.174949597 | 452173.0382 | −2.548914172 | 497195.624 | 7.154229303 | 417342.2974 | −10.05553935 | 442320.9107 | −4.672217527 | 436804.2529 | −5.861152385 | 444540.236 | −4.193914654 | 454184.3177 | −2.115448779 |
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