Prediction of Ammunition Storage Reliability Based on Improved Ant Colony Algorithm and BP Neural Network

Table 5

Simulation results.

Serial ID	IACO-BP		ACO-BP		PSO-BP		BP
	MSE	MAPE	MSE	MAPE	MSE	MAPE	MSE	MAPE
1	2.3e-03	3.0e+00	4.8e-04	1.6e+00	3.8e-02	1.3e+01	3.8e-02	9.8e+00
2	4.3e-04	1.4e+00	3.3e-03	3.7e+00	2.6e-02	1.2e+01	3.8e-02	1.0e+01
3	9.4e-04	2.1e+00	3.2e-03	4.1e+00	7.9e-03	5.4e+00	1.0e-02	6.1e+00
4	1.1e-03	2.2e+00	3.4e-03	4.3e+00	2.1e-02	8.8e+00	1.0e-02	6.9e+00
5	2.1e-03	2.7e+00	9.1e-03	6.2e+00	1.2e-02	9.0e+00	7.7e-03	5.1e+00
6	1.1e-03	2.3e+00	2.6e-02	8.3e+00	4.0e-02	1.3e+01	1.2e-02	7.8e+00
7	1.3e-03	2.0e+00	4.6e-02	1.3e+01	1.1e-02	7.0e+00	1.1e+00	4.1e+01
8	2.0e-03	2.7e+00	4.0e-02	1.1e+01	1.7e-02	7.8e+00	1.8e-03	2.6e+00
9	6.7e-04	2.0e+00	2.1e-03	2.6e+00	3.7e-02	1.1e+01	2.7e-03	3.8e+00
10	2.5e-03	2.4e+00	2.0e-03	2.6e+00	1.1e-02	8.7e+00	6.1e-02	1.4e+01
11	1.0e-03	1.8e+00	4.3e-02	1.2e+01	4.3e-02	1.3e+01	1.1e+00	4.1e+01
12	4.3e-04	1.6e+00	1.4e-03	2.5e+00	9.0e-03	7.1e+00	5.4e-03	4.6e+00
13	3.4e-04	9.7e-01	3.7e-03	3.6e+00	2.2e-02	9.0e+00	2.6e-02	1.1e+01
14	2.0e-03	2.7e+00	1.3e-03	2.1e+00	2.1e-02	8.5e+00	4.1e-02	1.1e+01
15	1.7e-03	3.0e+00	4.5e-04	1.4e+00	7.8e-02	1.9e+01	1.6e-03	2.4e+00
16	1.1e-03	2.1e+00	2.1e-03	2.7e+00	7.6e-02	1.7e+01	4.4e-03	4.3e+00
17	4.9e-04	1.6e+00	4.0e-03	4.4e+00	2.6e-02	9.2e+00	8.9e-03	6.1e+00
18	8.7e-04	1.8e+00	1.2e-02	6.4e+00	3.4e-03	3.7e+00	1.1e+00	4.1e+01
19	4.9e-04	1.5e+00	4.6e-02	1.2e+01	8.8e-03	6.4e+00	8.3e-03	4.4e+00
20	1.3e-03	2.2e+00	2.0e-02	8.4e+00	2.3e-02	9.4e+00	3.5e-02	1.2e+01
mean	1.2e-03	2.1e+00	1.5e-02	6.1e+00	2.7e-02	9.9e+00	1.7e-01	1.2e+01
Variance	4.6e-07	3.1e-01	2.9e-04	1.4e+01	4.3e-04	1.5e+01	1.5e-01	1.7e+02
Standard deviation	6.8e-04	5.6e-01	1.7e-02	3.7e+00	2.1e-02	3.8e+00	3.8e-01	1.3e+01
Range	2.2e-03	2.0e+00	4.6e-02	1.1e+01	7.5e-02	1.6e+01	1.1e+00	3.9e+01