Research Article

Real-Time Warning and Risk Assessment of Tailings Dam Disaster Status Based on Dynamic Hierarchy-Grey Relation Analysis

Table 1

Comparison of different risk evaluation methods.

No.MethodIntroductionAdvantagesDisadvantages

1Stochastic analytical hierarchy process (AHP) [22]Used to calculate the weight of indicatorsThe decision maker can choose the appropriate method to rate the relative importance of evaluation indexes to express the evaluation value according to their personal preferences, giving them sufficient flexibility.A relatively large random uncertainty.
2Fuzzy comprehensive analysisBased on mathematics, this method applies the principle of synthesizing fuzzy relations. It quantifies some factors with unclear boundaries and that are otherwise difficult to quantify.Digital methods deal with fuzzy evaluation objects; reasonable quantitative evaluation can be made using ambiguous data [23].Computation is complex and subjectivity is high.
3Game theory (GT)A mathematical construct that assumes a small number of rational players who have a limited number of actions or strategies available to them [24].Based on the idea that the two people use their own strategies to change their confrontation strategies in an equal game to achieve the goal of winning.Used for comparisons between limited participants
4Probabilistic Neural Networks (PNN)A kind of radial basis function neural network, widely used in pattern classification [25].The learning process is simple, the training speed is fast, the classification is accurate, and the fault tolerance is high.The quantitative analysis requires sufficient data.
5Genetic algorithm (GA)An iterative stochastic algorithm in which natural evolution is used to model the search process [26, 27].The evaluation process is simple; the iterations are performed using random probability mechanisms.Implementation requires complicated programming and sufficient data.
6Risk Matrix [28]A qualitative risk assessment and analysis method that can synthetically evaluate the possibility of risk occurrence and the severity of injury.Generally used in the absence of complete and accurate historical data.The results of qualitative analysis and prediction are ambiguous.
7GRA methodFor the factors between two systems, the measure of the magnitude of the correlation that changes with time or different objects is called the correlation degree [17, 18].GRA provides a quantitative measure for the development and change in a system, which is very suitable for dynamic process analysis.The correlation between factors is ambiguous.