Research Article

Real-Time Warning and Risk Assessment of Tailings Dam Disaster Status Based on Dynamic Hierarchy-Grey Relation Analysis

Table 6

Results of tailings dam evaluation index system weight.

Goals layerGuidelines Layer
(weight)
Indicators layerCurrent state weightFuture state weight

Tailings dam disaster risk identification UInherent risk indicators
U1  (0.500)
Maximum daily precipitation u1-10.38250.19120.38250.1912
Seismic capacity of the dam u1-20.25040.12520.10060.0503
Severity of tailings dam seepage u1-30.15960.07980.25040.1252
Dam height u1-40.10060.05030.06410.032
Nearby residential buildings u1-50.06410.0320.15960.0798
Total capacity of the reservoir u1-60.04280.02140.04280.0214
Frequency indicators U2  (0.500)Depth of the immersion line u2-10.38130.19070.38250.1912
Displacement of the crack u2-20.15840.07920.25040.1252
Length of the dry beach u2-30.06360.03180.04280.0214
Dispersion between the top of the beach and the reservoir water level u2-40.04120.02060.15960.0798
Surface horizontal displacement of the dam body u2-50.25570.12790.10060.0503
Settlement of the surface of the dam body u2-60.09980.04990.06410.032

Calculation result
(Current state)
Inherent risk consistency ratio: 0.0194; : 6.1225
Frequency risk consistency ratio: 0.0184; : 6.1160

Calculation result
(Future state)
Inherent risk consistency ratio: 0.0194; : 6.1225
Frequency risk consistency ratio: 0.0194; : 6.1225

Notes: is the weight of the original indicator layer to the criteria layer; is the weight of the original indicator layer to the target layer; is the weight of the new indicator layer on the criteria layer; isthe weight of the new indicator layer on the target layer.