Economic Development Forecast of China’s General Aviation Industry

Table 6

Comparison of different prediction models in 2019 (unit: 10,000 hours).

Methods	Actual value	Grey Bayesian network inference model	GM (1, 1)	Exponential smoothing model
Predicted results	112	106.07	103.38	98.62
Deviation from reality	—	5.59%	8.34%	13.57%