Research Article
[Retracted] M&A Short-Term Performance Based on Elman Neural Network Model: Evidence from 2006 to 2019 in China
Table 3
The AR in window period and fitting result of the five models.
| Window period | Actual return (%) | Abnormal return | Market adjustment method (%) | Market model method (%) | Unary nonlinear model (%) | Unary polynomial model l (%) | Elman (%) |
| −10 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.11 | −0.01 | −0.02 | 0.01 | −9 | 0.43 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 0.15 | 0.14 | −8 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.52 | 0.08 | 0.17 | −7 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.28 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −6 | 0.35 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.05 | −5 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.03 | −4 | 0.32 | 0.18 | 0.27 | −0.40 | 0.08 | 0.04 | −3 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.56 | 0.20 | 0.27 | −2 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.45 | 0.42 | 0.10 | 0.30 | −1 | 1.39 | 1.19 | 1.27 | 1.36 | 1.11 | 1.15 | 0 | 4.15 | 3.94 | 4.00 | 1.27 | 3.80 | 3.86 | 1 | 3.14 | 3.14 | 3.30 | 3.36 | 2.91 | 3.08 | 2 | 2.46 | 2.25 | 2.35 | 2.50 | 2.14 | 2.06 | 3 | 1.52 | 1.37 | 1.42 | 1.60 | 1.25 | 1.15 | 4 | 0.89 | 0.79 | 0.86 | 1.07 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 5 | 0.76 | 0.65 | 0.75 | 0.08 | 0.38 | 0.59 | 6 | 0.62 | 0.50 | 0.58 | 0.71 | 0.31 | 0.49 | 7 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.34 | −0.04 | 0.13 | 8 | 0.33 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 0.26 | 0.01 | 0.26 | 9 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.05 | −0.10 | 0.08 | 10 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.11 | −0.21 | −0.06 | −0.01 |
| CAR | 18.07 | 16.28 | 18.03 | 14.65 | 12.84 | 14.45 | R2 | — | 0.2813 | 0.5346 | 0.5459 | 0.0163 | 0.9950 |
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