Research Article
A Method for Parameters Estimation in a Dynamical Model of Ebola Virus Transmission in Sierra Leone
Table 1
Description of parameters in model (
1).
| Parameter | Description | Value | 95% confidence intervals |
| | Transmission coefficient between communities and | 0.9162 | [0.1173, 1.1247] | | Transmission coefficient between communities and | 0.8929 | [0.1341, 1.1803] | | Transmission coefficient at the hospital | 0.1674 | [0.0623, 1.0713] | | Transmission coefficient during the funerals | 0.2736 | [0.0887, 1.0665] | | Misdiagnosed proportion in | 0.657 | [0.1638, 0.6891] | | Proportion of correctly diagnosed suspected cases that move to F | 0.1447 | [0.0531, 1.1805] | | Proportion of exposed cases entering the compartment | 0.619 | [0.1008, 1.1189] | | Proportion of infected and hospitalized | 0.0023 | [0.1476, 0.3507] | | Time from suspected to susceptible | 1.59 days | [0.0641, 1.002] | | Average time from suspected to death | 4.88 days | [0.0418, 1.0139] | | Time from suspected to probable | 2.38 days | [0.0661, 1.0172] | | Time from exposed to probable | 1.0007 days | [0.0611, 1.2091] | | Time from exposed to suspected | 20.9 days | [0.1053, 1.2612] | | Time from probable to hospitalized | 3.56 days | [0.2733, 0.5884] | | Average time from hospitalization to death | 1.2 days | [0.1109, 1.187] | | Time from probable to removed | 5.69 days | [0.1221, 1.1318] | | Time from hospitalized to removed | 2.56 days | [0.0844, 1.1501] | | Average time from death to burial | 1.21 days | [0.1323, 0.9899] | | Time from probable to death | 1.11 days | [0.0099, 1.183] | | Mortality rate from probable to death | 0.5141 | [0.1219, 1.0691] | | Mortality rate from hospitalized to death | 0.6214 | [0.0455, 1.1318] | | Size of the Sierra Leone population | 6348350 | [47] |
|
|