Research Article

Understanding the Role of Humanistic Factors in Trade Network Evolution across the Belt and Road Initiative Countries Using the Exponential Random Graph Model

Table 3

The estimated results of the cross-sectional ERGM (2019).

M(1)M(2)M(3)M(4)M(5)M(6)

Edges−2.9976 (0.0911)−9.7759 (0.0518)−9.8578 (0.0487)−9.8726 (0.0499)−11.5684 (0.0531)−10.4221 (0.0497)
Mutual4.7130 (0.1856)3.9987 (0.0305)4.0140 (0.0165)4.0022 (0.1905)3.9846 (0.0289)3.9773 (0.1936)
Main(tradefree)0.0353 (0.0016)0.0361 (0.0016)0.0341 (0.0018)0.0465 (0.0018)0.0394 (0.0017)
Main(invfree)−0.0016 (0.0027)−0.0030 (0.0027)−0.0022 (0.0029)−0.0018 (0.0028)−0.0061 (0.0030)
Maim(finfree)0.0037 (0.0033)0.0047 (0.0031)0.0056 (0.0035)0.0026 (0.0034)0.0073 (0.0034)
Diff(popd)0.0003 (0.0002)0.0003 (0.0002)0.0004 (0.0002)0.0005 (0.0002)0.0002 (0.0002)
Diff(gdpd)0.0002 (0.0000)0.0002 (0.0000)0.0002 (0.0000)0.0002 (0.0000)0.0002 (0.0000)
Diff(entry_cost)−0.0047 (0.0041)−0.0043 (0.0039)−0.0020 (0.0036)−0.0030 (0.0041)−0.0023 (0.0037)
Homo(gdphigh)0.1179 (0.0817)0.1502 (0.0839)0.1166 (0.0789)0.1416 (0.0850)0.0980 (0.0819)
Homo(pophigh)0.1746 (0.0869)0.1515 (0.0814)0.1541 (0.0854)0.1613 (0.0823)0.1515 (0.0845)
Send(gdphigh)0.5787 (0.1080)0.5378 (0.0997)0.6030 (0.1091)0.6165 (0.1069)0.6321 (0.1001)
Send(pophigh)0.6110 (0.0937)0.6473 (0.0967)0.5883 (0.0980)0.5880 (0.0989)0.6442 (0.1006)
Recv(gdphigh)0.9457 (0.1073)0.9050 (0.1025)0.9837 (0.1018)0.9649 (0.1067)0.9990 (0.1024)
Recv(pophigh)0.4949 (0.0968)0.5120 (0.0969)0.4345 (0.1007)0.4677 (0.0998)0.4889 (0.0990)
Netc(comlang_off)0.6127 (0.1129)1.0474 (0.1347)
Netc(comlang_ethno)0.7464 (0.1172)
Netc(comleg)0.5236 (0.0770)
Netc(comrelig)1.0175 (0.1212)
Netc(sibling_ever)0.7326 (0.0889)
AIC2961.56342261.11832278.32722268.62512253.06262257.5920
BIC2980.17912354.19652371.40552361.70342346.14092350.6703

Note.; ; ; the values in parentheses are standard errors.