Complexity

Research Article

Understanding the Role of Humanistic Factors in Trade Network Evolution across the Belt and Road Initiative Countries Using the Exponential Random Graph Model

Table 5

The estimated results of the temporal ERGM by PLEBCI.
 M(12)M(13)M(14)M(15)M(16)
Edges−3.4084 [−11.1094; −2.4679]−3.4368 [−11.1202; −2.5527]−3.4330 [−11.3280; −2.7876]−3.3410 [−5.6840; −2.4420]−3.4172 [−11.1122; −2.6241]
Mutual2.5559 [ 2.0462; 2.7470]2.5543 [ 2.1505; 2.7389]2.5798 [ 2.1594; 2.7512]2.5889 [ 2.2417; 2.8065]2.5756 [ 2.0628; 2.7944]
Main(tradefree)0.0014 [ −0.0021; 0.0525]0.0015 [ −0.0017; 0.0526]0.0009 [ −0.0013; 0.0530]0.0009 [−0.0024; 0.0142]0.0012 [ −0.0012; 0.0526]
Main(invfree)0.0014 [ −0.0059; 0.0085]0.0012 [ −0.0051; 0.0085]0.0015 [ −0.0050; 0.0046]0.0012 [−0.0040; 0.0079]0.0012 [ −0.0090; 0.0081]
Maim(finfree)0.0006 [−0.0063; 0.0079]0.0008 [−0.0062; 0.0070]0.0009 [−0.0027; 0.0080]0.0011 [−0.0053; 0.0073]0.0008 [−0.0058; 0.0095]
Diff(popd)0.0000 [−0.0022; 0.0008]0.0000 [−0.0011; 0.0008]0.0000 [−0.0020; 0.0001]0.0000 [−0.0003; 0.0006]0.0000 [ −0.0030; 0.0007]
Diff(gdpd)0.0007 [0.0000; 0.0020]0.0007 [0.0001; 0.0014]0.0007 [0.0004; 0.0019]0.0007 [0.0002; 0.0009]0.0007 [0.0001; 0.0025]
Diff(entry_cost)−0.0008 [−0.0025; 0.0017]−0.0008 [−0.0024; 0.0016]−0.0007 [−0.0022; 0.0019]−0.0007 [−0.0021; 0.0014]−0.0006 [−0.0020; 0.0015]
Homo(gdphigh)0.1046 [−0.1006; 0.3162]0.1104 [−0.0902; 0.2551]0.1077 [0.0191; 0.3462]0.1073 [−0.0987; 0.2014]0.1019 [−0.1033; 0.3291]
Homo(pophigh)0.0914 [0.0244; 0.2856]0.0842 [0.0170; 0.2291]0.0883 [0.0234; 0.2703]0.0867 [0.0238; 0.2015]0.0816 [0.0157; 0.2760]
Send(gdphigh)1.2163 [0.3225; 2.3011]1.2021 [0.3197; 2.0020]1.2242 [0.6129; 2.3520]1.2169 [0.2728; 1.8937]1.2377 [0.3085; 2.4571]
Send(pophigh)0.0764 [−0.0967; 0.6106]0.0904 [−0.0954; 0.6104]0.0660 [ −0.0985; 0.6242]0.0566 [−0.1140; 0.2902]0.0728 [−0.0728; 0.6182]
Recv(gdphigh)0.1842 [−0.0054; 0.5725]0.1708 [−0.0045; 0.5042]0.1875 [0.0312; 0.5917]0.1803 [−0.0580; 0.4700]0.2075 [−0.0147; 0.7366]
Recv(pophigh)0.3214 [0.3058; 0.5245]0.3326 [0.3014; 0.5245]0.3085 [0.2324; 0.5413]0.2994 [0.2611; 0.3592]0.3137 [0.2354; 0.5332]
Netc(comlang_off)0.7087 [−0.3521; 1.6002]    
Netc(comlang_ethno) 0.6138 [−0.1365; 1.0453]   
Netc(comleg)  0.2301 [0.1498; 0.5666]  
Netc(comrelig)   0.2005 [−0.1257; 0.6396] 
Netc(sibling_ever)    0.3330 [−0.1117; 1.0982]
Obs.1062010620106201062010620
Note.;; .