Research Article

The Dynamic Relationship between Macroeconomy and Stock Market in China: Evidence from Bayesian Network

Table 2

Macroeconomic factors list.

FactorAbbreviationDescription

Industrial added valueIAVIAV growth rate on a month-on-month basis
Consumer index priceCPICPI growth rate on a month-on-month basis
Producer index pricePPIPPI growth rate on a month-on-month basis
Fixed asset investmentFAIFAI growth rate on a month-on-month basis
Retail sales of social consumer goodsRSCGThe total retail sales of social consumer goods
ExportEVExport value growth rate on a month-on-month basis
Social financingSFTotal social financing growth rate on a month-on-month basis
M2M2Broad money supply growth rate
Li Keqiang IndexKIKI = industrial power growth∗40% + medium and long-term loan balance growth∗35% + railway volume growth∗25%
Purchasing Manager IndexPMIPMI deviation from 50%
Exchange rateERExchange rate between RMB and USD
Interest rateIRShibor interest rate of 1W