Modelling and Analyzing the Potential Controls for <i>Neospora caninum</i> Infection in Dairy Cattle Using an Epidemic Approach

<div>Uncertainty analysis of reproduction number <span class="nowrap"><svg height="12.3054pt" id="M376" style="vertical-align:-3.29108pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.01432 17.3641 12.3054" width="17.3641pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M852 669C820 657 792 643 768 628C705 667 627 687 547 687C310 687 154 548 154 412C154 332 212 282 296 282C434 282 515 426 523 557H503C474 402 410 312 298 312C241 312 195 352 195 408C195 535 341 657 546 657C613 657 683 644 738 609C640 538 574 431 486 271C374 71 314 16 189 16C118 16 69 60 69 95H71C78 84 93 83 101 83C129 83 144 106 144 131C144 160 121 179 93 179C60 179 34 151 34 108C34 42 100 -15 207 -15C364 -15 491 73 603 304C614 297 639 293 650 293C681 293 683 254 683 245C683 181 599 150 599 70C599 21 645 -12 692 -12C747 -12 804 30 868 103L851 119C789 52 741 18 706 18C685 18 674 29 674 52C674 92 750 157 750 226C750 257 727 287 696 310V312C812 315 876 394 876 473C876 525 849 577 793 612C812 627 832 639 859 650L852 669ZM814 486C814 417 765 345 686 337C669 348 649 354 626 354C673 451 708 533 766 588C799 561 814 525 814 486Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,12.272,3.132)"><path d="M245 635C92 635 37 457 37 312C37 149 91 -12 244 -12C395 -12 449 166 449 312C449 469 395 635 245 635ZM243 598C332 598 358 454 358 312C358 173 334 26 245 26C158 26 128 174 128 313S152 598 243 598Z"></path></g></svg>,</span> <span class="nowrap"><svg height="13.8999pt" id="M377" style="vertical-align:-3.94351pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.95639 20.2687 13.8999" width="20.2687pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M852 669C820 657 792 643 768 628C705 667 627 687 547 687C310 687 154 548 154 412C154 332 212 282 296 282C434 282 515 426 523 557H503C474 402 410 312 298 312C241 312 195 352 195 408C195 535 341 657 546 657C613 657 683 644 738 609C640 538 574 431 486 271C374 71 314 16 189 16C118 16 69 60 69 95H71C78 84 93 83 101 83C129 83 144 106 144 131C144 160 121 179 93 179C60 179 34 151 34 108C34 42 100 -15 207 -15C364 -15 491 73 603 304C614 297 639 293 650 293C681 293 683 254 683 245C683 181 599 150 599 70C599 21 645 -12 692 -12C747 -12 804 30 868 103L851 119C789 52 741 18 706 18C685 18 674 29 674 52C674 92 750 157 750 226C750 257 727 287 696 310V312C812 315 876 394 876 473C876 525 849 577 793 612C812 627 832 639 859 650L852 669ZM814 486C814 417 765 345 686 337C669 348 649 354 626 354C673 451 708 533 766 588C799 561 814 525 814 486Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,12.272,-5.741)"><path d="M781 91L765 118C733 86 702 70 693 70C686 70 685 77 692 106L738 297C772 439 736 451 712 451S675 445 647 431C605 410 526 356 452 257H450L459 294C491 426 459 451 429 451C403 451 386 445 361 431C312 404 239 343 170 253H168L188 333C208 411 205 451 175 451C148 451 85 417 24 346L39 318C57 338 100 374 112 374C120 374 122 372 115 339C91 226 62 112 28 -6L37 -12C59 -4 87 3 114 6C125 68 142 127 154 168C184 227 316 383 372 383C397 383 396 366 381 289C362 192 338 92 312 -6L317 -12C339 -5 367 3 396 6L434 170C468 234 598 383 650 383C668 383 676 369 664 319L609 90C593 23 600 -12 629 -12C654 -12 722 23 781 91Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,12.272,3.784)"><path d="M245 635C92 635 37 457 37 312C37 149 91 -12 244 -12C395 -12 449 166 449 312C449 469 395 635 245 635ZM243 598C332 598 358 454 358 312C358 173 334 26 245 26C158 26 128 174 128 313S152 598 243 598Z"></path></g></svg>,</span> <span class="nowrap"><svg height="15.1148pt" id="M378" style="vertical-align:-3.943601pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -11.1712 17.3641 15.1148" width="17.3641pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M852 669C820 657 792 643 768 628C705 667 627 687 547 687C310 687 154 548 154 412C154 332 212 282 296 282C434 282 515 426 523 557H503C474 402 410 312 298 312C241 312 195 352 195 408C195 535 341 657 546 657C613 657 683 644 738 609C640 538 574 431 486 271C374 71 314 16 189 16C118 16 69 60 69 95H71C78 84 93 83 101 83C129 83 144 106 144 131C144 160 121 179 93 179C60 179 34 151 34 108C34 42 100 -15 207 -15C364 -15 491 73 603 304C614 297 639 293 650 293C681 293 683 254 683 245C683 181 599 150 599 70C599 21 645 -12 692 -12C747 -12 804 30 868 103L851 119C789 52 741 18 706 18C685 18 674 29 674 52C674 92 750 157 750 226C750 257 727 287 696 310V312C812 315 876 394 876 473C876 525 849 577 793 612C812 627 832 639 859 650L852 669ZM814 486C814 417 765 345 686 337C669 348 649 354 626 354C673 451 708 533 766 588C799 561 814 525 814 486Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,12.272,-5.741)"><path d="M329 433H203L239 587L230 596L147 534L123 433H57L30 395L34 388H115L61 129C37 16 59 -12 85 -12C147 -12 222 58 260 98L241 125C212 95 160 62 144 62C132 62 127 71 138 126L192 386L305 394L329 433Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,12.272,3.784)"><path d="M245 635C92 635 37 457 37 312C37 149 91 -12 244 -12C395 -12 449 166 449 312C449 469 395 635 245 635ZM243 598C332 598 358 454 358 312C358 173 334 26 245 26C158 26 128 174 128 313S152 598 243 598Z"></path></g></svg>,</span> and <span class="nowrap"><svg height="13.7721pt" id="M379" style="vertical-align:-3.94357pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.82853 17.3641 13.7721" width="17.3641pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M852 669C820 657 792 643 768 628C705 667 627 687 547 687C310 687 154 548 154 412C154 332 212 282 296 282C434 282 515 426 523 557H503C474 402 410 312 298 312C241 312 195 352 195 408C195 535 341 657 546 657C613 657 683 644 738 609C640 538 574 431 486 271C374 71 314 16 189 16C118 16 69 60 69 95H71C78 84 93 83 101 83C129 83 144 106 144 131C144 160 121 179 93 179C60 179 34 151 34 108C34 42 100 -15 207 -15C364 -15 491 73 603 304C614 297 639 293 650 293C681 293 683 254 683 245C683 181 599 150 599 70C599 21 645 -12 692 -12C747 -12 804 30 868 103L851 119C789 52 741 18 706 18C685 18 674 29 674 52C674 92 750 157 750 226C750 257 727 287 696 310V312C812 315 876 394 876 473C876 525 849 577 793 612C812 627 832 639 859 650L852 669ZM814 486C814 417 765 345 686 337C669 348 649 354 626 354C673 451 708 533 766 588C799 561 814 525 814 486Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,12.272,-5.741)"><path d="M219 86C216 168 211 250 206 337C201 410 189 448 163 448C131 448 79 396 43 344L60 322C91 359 110 375 118 375S132 358 136 298C141 238 152 81 155 -12H182C242 62 331 177 390 258C435 321 451 360 451 391C450 424 432 448 408 448C390 448 372 435 366 419C362 410 362 401 366 394C373 383 376 367 376 350C376 283 262 138 221 86H219Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,12.272,3.784)"><path d="M245 635C92 635 37 457 37 312C37 149 91 -12 244 -12C395 -12 449 166 449 312C449 469 395 635 245 635ZM243 598C332 598 358 454 358 312C358 173 334 26 245 26C158 26 128 174 128 313S152 598 243 598Z"></path></g></svg>.</span> Frequency distribution of reproduction number over 1000 simulations with varied parameters. (a) Baseline case. (b) Medication. (c) Test-and-cull. (d) Vaccination.</div>

Complexity

fig4

Figure 4

Figure 4: Modelling and Analyzing the Potential Controls for <i>Neospora caninum</i> Infection in Dairy Cattle Using an Epidemic Approach 

Complexity

Modelling and Analyzing the Potential Controls for Neospora caninum Infection in Dairy Cattle Using an Epidemic Approach

Figure 4