Modeling Coupled Nonlinear Multilayered Dynamics: Cyber Attack and Disruption of an Electric Grid

Figure 4

The dynamics of compromise and performance with DCM inactive when there are no decoy cyber components. (a) The numbers of un-compromised and vulnerable, un-compromised and temporarily invulnerable, and compromised cyber components. (b) The performance of the physical system (black) and the probability that compromise will be detected (green). Using the probability of detection curve in (b) we constructed 3000 realizations of (c) the time of detection of compromise and (d) the number of compromised cyber components at the time of detection of compromise.

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)