Understanding the Anticontagion Process and Reopening of China during COVID-19 via Coevolution Network of Epidemic and Awareness

Figure 5

Timetable for the work resumption, epidemic prevention, and strict restrictions. (a) records the simulated cumulative confirmed cases, when the state goes back to work within each city (blue bar), restricts the population mobility within cities (grey bar), and takes tougher control measures on mobility within cities (red bar) since different periods. (c) shows the results of controlling the population migration between cities in the same way. The blue, grey, and red bars in (e) demonstrate neglecting, starting, and emphasizing the awareness reminder, respectively. To cut the final cumulative confirmed cases by half, (b) shows the critical limiting ratio of population mobility within cities. The partial enlarged view in (b) documents the cumulative cases when this factor is adjusted to 1% of the true level, which shows that the goal cannot be achieved in the third week or beyond. Since the goal to cut cumulative cases by half also cannot be achieved by only controlling the other two factors, i.e., the population migration between cities and awareness diffusion, (d) and (f) document the impact of limiting them to 1% and 10% of the true level. (a) Timeline for population mobility management. (b) Timeline for population migration management. (c) Timetable for awareness diffusion. (d) Critical value of population mobility management. (e) Critical value of population migration management. (f) Critical value of awareness diffusion.

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