The New Novel Discrete Distribution with Application on COVID-19 Mortality Numbers in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Latvia

Table 6

MLE and standard error SE for models and goodness-of-fit criteria for each model.

Number of death/day	Death counts	Binom	Pois	DMOGE	DAPL	EDW	DEOWE	Nbinom	Skellam
0	0	0.369 4	0.291 3	0.000 1	0.003 5	0.000 0	0.000 2	0.299 1	0.291 4
1	0	1.758 8	1.521 5	0.087 3	0.460 2	0.040 6	0.050 7	1.546 3	1.521 8
2	2	4.265 1	3.972 8	2.169 7	3.362 7	2.226 9	1.395 1	4.004 8	3.973 4
3	8	7.020 5	6.915 5	9.195 0	8.060 9	9.317 5	9.909 7	6.928 3	6.916 3
4	19	8.821 9	9.028 6	13.532 0	10.883 5	12.813 2	15.329 1	9.006 8	9.029 2
5	7	9.024 0	9.429 9	11.045 5	10.410 0	10.787 3	10.280 7	9.385 1	9.430 0
6	5	7.824 9	8.207 5	7.085 3	7.987 8	7.342 9	6.049 7	8.165 0	8.207 2
7	3	5.914 4	6.123 1	4.259 0	5.319 1	4.568 6	3.673 9	6.100 4	6.122 5
8	2	3.976 8	3.997 0	2.551 3	3.240 4	2.745 9	2.324 3	3.995 8	3.996 4
9	5	2.415 8	2.319 2	1.546 5	1.872 5	1.635 6	1.520 5	2.330 9	2.318 8
10	2	1.342 1	1.211 2	0.949 3	1.052 2	0.976 9	1.021 0	1.226 0	1.210 9
11	1	0.688 6	0.575 0	0.588 5	0.584 7	0.588 2	0.699 9	0.587 4	0.574 8
		0.256 8	5.222 2	14.969 9	0.000 1	0.676 8	6.974 6	517.031 5	5.222 0
SE		0.911 8	0.311 0	5.449 3	0.235 6	0.068 8	2.129 4	3.655 8	3.654 2
				0.632 5	1.650 9	85.871 0	3.884 2	0.990 0	0.000 2
SE				0.091 9		0.000 2	1.673 4	0.155 5	0.009 9
				0.294 8	0.000 2	0.206 6	0.156 8
SE				0.318 4		0.037 0	0.011 0
		22.085 6	22.200 0	13.935 5	16.908 9	14.065 4	11.544 6	22.164 0	22.200 3
value		0.023 7	0.022 9	0.236 6	0.110 6	0.229 4	0.398 8	0.023 1	0.022 9
AIC		236.283 2	235.785 5	230.480 2	234.140 0	230.824 3	229.686 6	237.816 7	237.785 5
CAIC		236.360 1	235.862 4	230.960 2	234.620 0	231.304 3	230.166 6	238.052 0	238.020 8
BIC		238.272 2	237.774 5	236.447 2	240.106 9	236.791 3	235.653 6	241.794 6	241.763 5
HQIC		237.050 3	236.552 6	232.781 4	236.441 2	233.125 5	231.987 9	239.350 8	239.319 7