Research Article

Simulating the Sustainability of Xiong’an New Area Undertaking the Industrial Transfer from Beijing

Table 1

Simulation results by scenario.

Industrial transfer scenarioScenario 1Scenario 2Scenario 3

Transfer speed of second industry (billion yuan/year)3.71.51.9
Transfer speed of tertiary industry (billion yuan/year)6.48.610.8
Water resourcesOverloadedOverloadedOverloaded
Water environmentOverloadedOverloadedOverloaded
Atmospheric environmentOverload in 2028Not overloadNot overloaded
Land resourcesNot overloadedNot overloadNot overloaded
GDP (billion yuan)202.8202.8249.6
Population (10,000 persons)241.6247.2282.2 (beyond planned population)
Per capita GDP (million yuan/person)839820884
Ratio of tertiary industry60%80%81%
Urbanization rate75%75%78%

Note. Water resources and the water environment carrying status are calculated based on local water resources (excluding inbound water resources).