Research Article
Simulating the Sustainability of Xiong’an New Area Undertaking the Industrial Transfer from Beijing
Table 1
Simulation results by scenario.
| Industrial transfer scenario | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 |
| Transfer speed of second industry (billion yuan/year) | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.9 | Transfer speed of tertiary industry (billion yuan/year) | 6.4 | 8.6 | 10.8 | Water resources | Overloaded | Overloaded | Overloaded | Water environment | Overloaded | Overloaded | Overloaded | Atmospheric environment | Overload in 2028 | Not overload | Not overloaded | Land resources | Not overloaded | Not overload | Not overloaded | GDP (billion yuan) | 202.8 | 202.8 | 249.6 | Population (10,000 persons) | 241.6 | 247.2 | 282.2 (beyond planned population) | Per capita GDP (million yuan/person) | 839 | 820 | 884 | Ratio of tertiary industry | 60% | 80% | 81% | Urbanization rate | 75% | 75% | 78% |
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Note. Water resources and the water environment carrying status are calculated based on local water resources (excluding inbound water resources).
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