Predicting Tipping Points in Chaotic Maps with Period-Doubling Bifurcations

<div>Bifurcation diagram in black and Lyapunov exponent in blue color by changing <span class="nowrap"><svg height="11.439pt" id="M85" style="vertical-align:-2.15067pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 56.4396 11.439" width="56.4396pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M578 512C578 619 494 650 387 650H140L134 622C219 615 223 609 210 542L127 119C112 40 104 34 23 28L17 0H235C317 0 387 7 444 33C515 65 564 122 564 195C564 289 495 335 412 352V354C505 373 578 422 578 512ZM486 510C486 422 423 367 314 367H257L294 565C299 591 305 602 315 608C324 614 339 617 362 617C421 617 486 595 486 510ZM466 200C466 100 393 35 296 35C222 35 198 51 212 127L250 333H303C388 333 466 303 466 200Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,11.445,0)"><path d="M448 1V51H364C248 51 153 129 140 230H448V280H140C153 381 248 459 364 459H448V509H365C208 509 80 395 80 255S208 1 365 1H448Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,21.941,0)"><path d="M290 -163V-135C183 -126 181 -122 181 -44V583C181 662 184 666 290 675V703H120V-163H290Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,26.426,0)"><path d="M535 230V280H52V230H535Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,34.057,0)"><path d="M384 0V27C293 34 287 42 287 114V635C232 613 172 594 109 583V559L157 557C201 555 205 550 205 499V114C205 42 199 34 109 27V0H384Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,40.297,0)"><path d="M95 130C70 130 46 113 46 88C46 72 54 64 59 64C93 55 121 33 121 -3C121 -41 93 -68 44 -88L55 -117C117 -98 186 -56 186 22C186 91 131 130 95 130Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,45.44,0)"><path d="M384 0V27C293 34 287 42 287 114V635C232 613 172 594 109 583V559L157 557C201 555 205 550 205 499V114C205 42 199 34 109 27V0H384Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,51.68,0)"><path d="M226 -163V703H56V676C162 667 165 662 165 584V-43C165 -122 162 -126 56 -136V-163H226Z"></path></g></svg>;</span> Lyapunov exponent approaches zero by approaching bifurcation points, which can help their predictions.</div>

Complexity

fig12

Figure 12

Figure 12: Predicting Tipping Points in Chaotic Maps with Period-Doubling Bifurcations 