Characterization of Meteorological Drought Using Monte Carlo Feature Selection and Steady-State Probabilities

Table 10

Classif. drought categories received SSW in several months. The SSW is calculated based on SPTI-1 for the year, 2017, in certain stations. Using SPTI-1 in January of Gupis, MD occurred. The MD received SSW by a value of 0.2842. Further, in December (Dec) of Gupis ND received SSW by a value of 0.5577. In December of Skardu, ND received SSW by a value of 0.8401. The varying behavior of SSW for several stations and months can be examined accordingly.

Month	Astore		Bunji		Gupis		Chilas		Gilgit		Skardu
	Classif.	Weights	Classif.	Weights	Classif.	Weights	Classif.	Weights	Classif.	Weights	Classif.	Weights
1	SD	0.0534	MD	0.2047	MD	0.2842	ND	0.6590	ND	0.6587	ND	0.8401
2	SD	0.0534	ND	0.6604	MD	0.2842	ND	0.6590	ND	0.6587	ND	0.8401
3	ND	0.6789	MD	0.2047	ND	0.5577	ND	0.6590	MD	0.1994	ND	0.8401
4	MW	0.1187	ND	0.6604	MW	0.0941	EW	0.0266	SW	0.0568	ND	0.8401
5	ND	0.6789	ND	0.6604	ND	0.5577	ND	0.6590	ND	0.6587	ND	0.8401
6	ND	0.6789	ND	0.6604	ND	0.5577	ND	0.6590	ND	0.6587	ND	0.8401
7	ND	0.6789	ND	0.6604	ND	0.5577	ND	0.6590	ND	0.6587	ND	0.8401
8	ND	0.6789	ND	0.6604	ND	0.5577	ND	0.6590	ND	0.6587	ND	0.8401
9	ND	0.6789	ND	0.6604	ND	0.5577	ND	0.6590	ND	0.6587	ND	0.8401
10	SD	0.0534	MD	0.2047	ND	0.5577	ND	0.6590	MD	0.1994	ND	0.8401
11	SD	0.0534	MD	0.2047	MD	0.2842	MD	0.1705	MD	0.1994	ND	0.8401
12	ND	0.6789	MD	0.2047	ND	0.5577	ND	0.6590	MD	0.1994	ND	0.8401