Research Article

A Novel Hybrid Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Twice Decomposition, PSR, and IMVO-ELM

Table 3

The average evaluation metrics of forecasting by different methods with 20 times’ independent calculations.

DatasetsMethodsEvaluation metrics of forecasting
MAPE (%)MAE (m/s)RMSE (m/s)

AIMVO-ELM25.9190.5080.647
EMD--IMVO-ELM13.3260.3200.399
CEEMDAN—IMVO-ELM10.5860.2370.308
ICEEMDAN--IMVO-ELM9.3140.2070.281
EMD-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM11.8490.3070.391
CEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM9.7650.2260.297
ICEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM8.0810.1840.252
The proposed method6.6820.1620.225

BIMVO-ELM12.0691.3611.685
EMD--IMVO-ELM8.3450.9761.182
CEEMDAN—IMVO-ELM7.4200.8681.066
ICEEMDAN--IMVO-ELM6.8210.7850.944
EMD-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM7.4150.8741.104
CEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM6.4460.7460.891
ICEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM5.8300.6730.812
The proposed method5.3920.6250.767

CIMVO-ELM9.0330.8141.069
EMD--IMVO-ELM5.2270.4650.585
CEEMDAN—IMVO-ELM5.5210.4930.641
ICEEMDAN--IMVO-ELM5.0130.4440.589
EMD-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM5.0710.4480.572
CEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM4.4190.3970.522
ICEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM4.0130.3610.477
The proposed method3.4460.3080.419

DIMVO-ELM12.7171.1731.574
EMD--IMVO-ELM8.5920.7991.021
CEEMDAN—IMVO-ELM8.5360.7750.944
ICEEMDAN--IMVO-ELM7.8000.7110.875
EMD-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM8.3340.7781.003
CEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM6.9460.6460.808
ICEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM5.8320.5410.699
The proposed method5.4350.5090.668