Research Article
A Novel Hybrid Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Twice Decomposition, PSR, and IMVO-ELM
Table 3
The average evaluation metrics of forecasting by different methods with 20 times’ independent calculations.
| Datasets | Methods | Evaluation metrics of forecasting | MAPE (%) | MAE (m/s) | RMSE (m/s) |
| A | IMVO-ELM | 25.919 | 0.508 | 0.647 | EMD--IMVO-ELM | 13.326 | 0.320 | 0.399 | CEEMDAN—IMVO-ELM | 10.586 | 0.237 | 0.308 | ICEEMDAN--IMVO-ELM | 9.314 | 0.207 | 0.281 | EMD-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 11.849 | 0.307 | 0.391 | CEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 9.765 | 0.226 | 0.297 | ICEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 8.081 | 0.184 | 0.252 | The proposed method | 6.682 | 0.162 | 0.225 |
| B | IMVO-ELM | 12.069 | 1.361 | 1.685 | EMD--IMVO-ELM | 8.345 | 0.976 | 1.182 | CEEMDAN—IMVO-ELM | 7.420 | 0.868 | 1.066 | ICEEMDAN--IMVO-ELM | 6.821 | 0.785 | 0.944 | EMD-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 7.415 | 0.874 | 1.104 | CEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 6.446 | 0.746 | 0.891 | ICEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 5.830 | 0.673 | 0.812 | The proposed method | 5.392 | 0.625 | 0.767 |
| C | IMVO-ELM | 9.033 | 0.814 | 1.069 | EMD--IMVO-ELM | 5.227 | 0.465 | 0.585 | CEEMDAN—IMVO-ELM | 5.521 | 0.493 | 0.641 | ICEEMDAN--IMVO-ELM | 5.013 | 0.444 | 0.589 | EMD-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 5.071 | 0.448 | 0.572 | CEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 4.419 | 0.397 | 0.522 | ICEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 4.013 | 0.361 | 0.477 | The proposed method | 3.446 | 0.308 | 0.419 |
| D | IMVO-ELM | 12.717 | 1.173 | 1.574 | EMD--IMVO-ELM | 8.592 | 0.799 | 1.021 | CEEMDAN—IMVO-ELM | 8.536 | 0.775 | 0.944 | ICEEMDAN--IMVO-ELM | 7.800 | 0.711 | 0.875 | EMD-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 8.334 | 0.778 | 1.003 | CEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 6.946 | 0.646 | 0.808 | ICEEMDAN-cc-PSR-IMVO-ELM | 5.832 | 0.541 | 0.699 | The proposed method | 5.435 | 0.509 | 0.668 |
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