Research Article

A Lead-Lag Relationship and Forecast Research between China’s Crude Oil Futures and Spot Markets

Table 2

Actual and forecast price (USD per barrel) in different frequencies with night trading (before February, 2020).

DateActualForecast 15Forecast 30Forecast 60

2019.12.2670.9970.7270.5670.52
2019.12.2771.9271.4071.3171.43
2019.12.3072.8472.5172.4972.44
2019.12.3172.9772.8872.6372.92
2020.1.272.6971.9871.9771.83
2020.1.374.2173.8374.1573.60
2020.1.675.8975.5976.1275.76
2020.1.774.5275.1774.5074.51
2020.1.875.1776.5175.8275.44
2020.1.971.0971.4471.2471.22
2020.1.1070.8370.5670.5170.46
2020.1.1370.4870.3870.3570.38
2020.1.1469.4568.5368.7469.15
2020.1.1569.6169.0968.9069.06
2020.1.1669.2269.6469.5669.29
2020.1.1769.669.2069.1169.45
2020.1.2070.2369.8769.7569.80
2020.1.2169.4769.5169.4269.57
2020.1.2269.469.2569.2169.14
2020.1.2367.8667.3767.5067.55