Research Article
Multi-Frequency Information Flows between Global Commodities and Uncertainties: Evidence from COVID-19 Pandemic
Table 2
Non-linearity tests for global commodities and uncertainties.
| Returns | Teraesvirta’s neural network test | White neural network test | Keenan’s one-degree test for non-linearity | Tsay’s test for non-linearity | Likelihood ratio test for threshold non-linearity |
| Aggregated commodities | Acommodity | 17.319 | 19.247 | 0.036 | 4.395 | 3.624 | Aenergy | 9.803 | 8.238 | 0.014 | 0.086 | 4.960 | Ametals | 0.113 | 0.091 | 1.396 | 2.090 | 10.698 | Imetals | 0.313 | 0.353 | 0.018 | 0.244 | 2.736 |
| Energy | Brent | 9.058 | 7.807 | 0.393 | 0.134 | 2.170 | Gasoline | 7.287 | 6.471 | 0.001 | 0.050 | 1.582 | Htoil | 0.792 | 0.586 | 0.085 | 0.184 | 2.060 | Ngas | 0.856 | 0.916 | 2.940 | 1.748 | 17.061 | Petroleum | 12.271 | 9.671 | 1.058 | 2.351 | 18.076 |
| Agricultural | Cocoa | 3.002 | 2.879 | 0.839 | 0.912 | 1.800 | Coffee | 0.619 | 0.519 | 0.001 | 1.378 | 1.114 | Corn | 0.767 | 0.792 | 0.003 | 0.028 | 4.294 | Cotton | 1.282 | 1.174 | 0.001 | 0.306 | 1.069 | Soybeans | 2.063 | 1.989 | 0.001 | 0.156 | 3.164 | Wheat | 0.386 | 0.390 | 3.137e − 07 | 2.167 | 2.123 |
| Metals | Gold | 2.478 | 3.109 | 5.493 | 0.304 | 2.053 | Lead | 6.485 | 4.559 | 0.126 | 0.123 | 13.472 | Nickel | 3.450 | 2.868 | 1.620 | 1.933 | 4.078 | Palladium | 0.836 | 4.285 | 15.793 | 3.55 | 31.494 | Zinc | 1.763 | 1.843 | 0.013 | 0.163 | 1.238 |
| Uncertainties | EPU | 3.691 | 2.596 | 2.413 | 3.142 | 7.467 | Gvolatility | 5.631 | 5.623 | 0.004 | 0.273 | 3.469 | OVX | 2.566 | 1.746 | 0.050 | 0.280 | 2.883 | VCRIX | 1.066 | 1.308 | 4.893e − 05 | 57.75 | 1.609 | VIX | 1.199 | 2.819 | 0.150 | 0.209 | 4.980 |
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Note. ∗, ∗∗, and ∗∗∗ indicate significance at 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.
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