Research Article

Prognostic Role of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and Asthma Physiology Score for in-Hospital and 1-year Mortality in Patients with Acute Exacerbations of COPD

Table 5

Assessing the influence of CAPS levels on 1-year mortality by Cox regression analyses.

VariableUnivariate analysisMultivariate analysis
HR (95% CI)P ValueHR (95% CI)P Value

Age (per increase of 10-year)2.69 (1.54–4.68)<0.0013.08 (1.43–6.62)0.004
Sex (female vs male)1.45 (0.59–3.57)0.415
Smoking status never smoker vs current/ever smoker1.67 (0.64–4.38)0.296
BMI (per increase of 1 point)1.01 (0.92–1.11)0.876
COPD stage (per increase to next stage)1.45 (0.94–2.23)0.0892.52 (1.28–4.95)0.007
Exacerbations during preceding year (yes vs no)1.23 (0.60–2.56)0.572
CHF (yes vs no)4.84 (2.31–10.14)<0.0013.70 (1.52–9.02)0.004
RD (yes vs no)1.90 (0.66–5.45)0.235
CAPS (≥21 vs. < 21 points)4.07 (1.97–8.44)<0.0012.24 (0.90–5.53)0.082
Percentage of neutrophils (<80 vs. ≥ 80%)1.98 (0.92–4.28)0.0830.82 (0.33–2.05)0.672
Lymphocyte count (<1.1 vs.≥ 1.1×109/L)1.23 (0.57–2.68)0.598
PH
(PH < 7.35 vs. 7.35 ≤ PH ≤ 7.45)0.77 (0.18–3.24)0.718
(PH > 7.45 vs. 7.35 ≤ PH ≤ 7.45)1.34 (0.40–4.45)0.634
PaO2 (≥60 vs. <60 mmHg)2.77 (0.96–8.05)0.0611.22 (0.38–3.93)0.742
PaCO2 (≥50 vs. <50 mmHg)1.50 (0.65–3.45)0.341

CHF, congestive heart failure; RD, renal dysfunction; HR, hazard ratio.