Research Article

The Volatility of the Index of Shanghai Stock Market Research Based on ARCH and Its Extended Forms

Table 6


CoefficientStd. Errorz-StatisticProb.

@SQRT(GARCH)0.0835110.0525621.5888150.1121
C-0.0006250.000701-0.8912780.3728
AR(1)-0.1990860.351060-0.5670990.5706
AR(2)0.1246590.0509072.4487400.0143
AR(3)0.1747350.0620162.8175840.0048
AR(4)-0.7854330.052558-14.944090.0000
AR(5)-0.1999620.293003-0.6824570.4949
AR(6)-0.0461510.023580-1.9571590.0503
MA(1)0.2166110.3491760.6203470.5350
MA(2)-0.1468510.043255-3.3949740.0007
MA(3)-0.1597670.056709-2.8173100.0048
MA(4)0.8152840.05217415.626120.0000
MA(5)0.2316380.2995600.7732610.4394
Variance equation
C3.97Eā€“067.56Eā€“075.2519230.0000
RESID (-1)20.1142020.00961511.877040.0000
GARCH (-1)0.8799960.00919395.721470.0000