Research Article

Subprime Risk and Insurance with Regret

Table 1

Chain of subprime risk and securitization; compare with [6].

Step in chain Information generated Agents involved

Mortgage origination Underwriting standards, mortgage risk characteristics, credit risk (mortgage quality), operational risk (documentation, creditworthiness, origination process) SORs and MBs

Mortgage securitization Reference mortgage portfolio Selected, RMBS structured credit (reference portfolio) risk, market (valuation, liquidity) risk, operational (misselling, SIB issues) risk, tranching (maturity mismatch) risk, systemic (maturity transformation) risk, SDBs, SRs, CRAs, SIBs buying deal

Securitization of ABSs, RMBSs, CMBSs into ABS CDOs ABS portfolio selected, manager selected, cdo structured credit (reference portfolio) risk, market (valuation, liquidity) risk, operational (misselling, SIB issues) risk, tranching (maturity mismatch) risk, systemic (maturity transformation) risk SDBs, CDO managers, CRAs, SIBs buying deal

CDO risk transfer via MLIs in negative basis trade CDOs and tranche selected, credit risk in the form of market (basis) risk credit (counterparty) risk SDBs, banks with balance sheets, CDOs

CDO tranches sale to SIVs and other vehicles CDOs and Tranche selected for SIV portfolio market (price and interest rate) risk SIV manager, SIV investors buy SIV liabilities

Investment in SIV liabilities by money market funds Choice of SIV and seniority Only agents directly involved: buyer and seller

CDO tranches sale to money market funds via liquidity puts CDOs and tranche selected Dealer banks, money market funds, put writers

Final destination of cash RMBS tranches, cash CDO tranches and synthetic risk Location of riskOnly agents directly involved: buyer and seller