Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society

Volume 2013, Article ID 956893, 9 pages

http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/956893

## A New Model for Capturing the Spread of Computer Viruses on Complex-Networks

School of Information Engineering, Guangdong Medical College, Dongguan 523808, China

Received 7 September 2013; Revised 31 October 2013; Accepted 1 November 2013

Academic Editor: Jinde Cao

Copyright © 2013 Chunming Zhang et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

#### Abstract

Based on complex network, this paper proposes a novel computer virus propagation model which is motivated by the traditional SEIRQ model. A systematic analysis of this new model shows that the virus-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when its basic reproduction is less than one, and the viral equilibrium is globally attractive when the basic reproduction is greater than one. Some numerical simulations are finally given to illustrate the main results, implying that these results are applicable to depict the dynamics of virus propagation.

#### 1. Introduction

Computer viruses, including the narrowly defined viruses and network worms, are loosely defined as malicious codes that can replicate themselves and spread among computers. Usually, computer viruses attack computer systems directly, while worms mainly attack computers by searching for system or software vulnerabilities. With the rapid popularization of the Internet and mobile wireless networks, network viruses have posed a major threat to our work and life. To thwart the fast spread of computer viruses, it is critical to have a comprehensive understanding of the way that computer viruses propagate. Kephart and White [1] proposed the first epidemiological model of computer viruses. From then on, much effort has been done in developing virus spreading models [1–15]. On the other hand, it was found [16–18] that the Internet topology follows the “scale-free” (SF) networks; that is, the probability that a given node is connected to other nodes follows a power-law of the form , with the remarkable feature that for most real-world networks. This finding has greatly stimulated the interest in understanding the impact of network topology on virus spreading [16–29].

Recently, Mishra and Jha [2] investigated a so-called SEIQRS model on a homogeneous network by making the following assumptions.(H1)The population has a homogeneous degree distribution.(H2)The total population of computers is divided into five groups: susceptible, exposed, infected, quarantine and recovered computers. Let , , , , and denote the numbers of susceptible, exposed, infected, quarantine, and recovered computers, respectively.(H3)New computers are attached to the Internet at rate .(H4)Computers are disconnected from the Internet naturally at a constant rate and removed with probability due to the attack of malicious objects.(H5) computers become with constant rate ; computers become with constant rate ; computers become with constant rate ; computers become with constant rate ; computers become with constant rate ; computers become with constant rate .

According to the above assumptions, the following model is derived (see Figure 1):

In view of the fact that the Internet topology is scale-free rather than exponential in its degree distribution [17, 18, 23], this paper addresses the dynamics of a scale-free network-based SEIQRS model.

For convenience, computers on the Internet are called as nodes in the sequel. For our purpose, the following additional assumptions are imposed on the previous SEIQRS model.(H6)The node degrees of the network asymptotically follow a power-law distribution, , where stands for the probability that a node chosen randomly from the Internet is of degree .(H7)The total number of nodes does not change or, equivalently, , , and .(H8): the relative density of -degree -nodes; : the relative density of -degree -nodes; : the relative density of -degree -nodes; : the relative density of -degree -nodes; : the relative density of -degree -nodes; .(H9)The probability that a link has an -node as one endpoint does not depend on the degree of the other endpoint of the link and, hence, is only a function of . Let denote the probability, , where, .

By applying the mean-field technique to the above assumptions, we get a new epidemic model of computer virus, which is formulated as (see Figure 2)

with initial conditions , , , , and , .

Note that, for every , we have ; thus, the first set of equations in system (2) can be removed, yielding the following system,

with initial conditions , , , and .

The organization of this paper is as follows. Section 2 determines the equilibria of system (3) and the basic reproduction number . Sections 3 and 4 address the global stability of the virus-free equilibrium and the global attractivity of the viral equilibrium, respectively. Numerical examples are provided in Section 5 to support our theoretical results. In the final section, a brief conclusion is given and some future research topics are also pointed out.

#### 2. Basic Reproduction Number and Equilibria

The basic reproduction number , which can be explained as the average number of secondary infections produced by a single infected node during its infection time, is calculated as

where stands for the second origin moment of the node degree, . Then, we have the following theorem.

Theorem 1. *Consider system (3). The following assertions hold.** There always exists a virus-free equilibrium .** There is no viral equilibrium if .** There exists a unique viral equilibrium
**
if , where
** is the unique positive root of the equation
*

*Proof. *After imposing the stationarity condition, we have

It is easily verified that is always a root of this system. Solving the system, we get

where is the unique positive root of the equation

If , we have , implying that and, thus, (10) has no positive roots. Hence, assertion (3) holds. Now, assume . The observations that (a) , (b) for , and (c) imply that (10) has a unique positive root. Hence, assertion (8) also holds.

*Remark 2. *It can be seen from Theorem 1 that and . This shows that, when in the steady state , the infection density for a higher node degree is higher than that for a lower node degree.

#### 3. Stability of the Virus-Free Equilbrium

It is clear that is the virus-free equilibrium of system (3). In this section, we will prove that virus-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when .

For convenience, let

Let and rewrite system (3) in matrix-vector notation as

with initial condition , where

Theorem 3. *Consider system (12); is locally asymptotically stable if , whereas is a saddle point if .*

*Proof. *The characteristic equation with respect to is

We obtain

This equation has negative roots and with multiplicity and negative roots , , and with multiplicity . Now let

Suppose . Then, and it follows from the Hurwitz criterion that all roots of the characteristic equation have negative real parts, implying that is locally asymptotically stable. Now, assume . Then, and the characteristic equation has exactly one positive root, implying that is a saddle point.

Lemma 4 (see [16]). *Consider a system defined at least in a compact set . Then, is invariant if, for every point y on , the vector is tangent to or pointing into .*

Lemma 5. *The set is positively invariant for system (12). That is, implies for all .*

*Proof. * consists of the following sets:

which have

as their respective outer normal vectors. For , we have

Thus, the claimed result follows from Lemma 4.

Lemma 6 (see [16]). *Consider an -dimensional autonomous system
**
where is an irreducible matrix, is a region containing the origin, , and . Assume there exist, a positively invariant compact convex set containing the origin, a positive number , and a real eigenvector of , such that*(C1)* for all ,*(C2)* for all ,*(C3)*the origin forms the largest positively invariant set included in .**Then, one has that*(1)* implies that the origin is globally asymptotically stable in , and*(2)* implies that there exists such that, for each , the solution to system (12) satisfies .*

We are ready to prove.

Theorem 7. *Consider system (12). Then, is globally asymptotically stable in , if .*

*Proof. *Let and look at (12). As matrix is irreducible and all of its nondiagonal entries are nonnegative, it follows from [13] that has a positive eigenvector corresponding to its eigenvalue . Let . Then, for all , we have

Moreover, implies that . Hence, the claimed result follows from assertion (2) of Lemma 6.

#### 4. Global Attractivity of the Viral Equilibrium

We will ascertain the global attractivity of the viral equilibrium.

Theorem 8. *If , then the infection solution of (12) is globally attractive in .*

*Proof. *Theorem 3 ensures the existence of the viral equilibrium. We need to prove that if , there is a unique constant equilibrium in . Let , Assume that and are two constant solutions of (12) in . If , then there exists , , such that , where is the th component of the vector . Without loss of generality, assume , and for all . Since and are constant solutions of (12), we substitute them into (12). And if , we obtain,

where .

After equivalent deformation, it follows that

But for all and

Thus, from the above inequality, we get

This is a contradiction. Similarly, we can also get contradictions when , , and . Therefore, there exists a unique constant solution of (3) in . Now, we shall prove that is globally attractive in . To find the asymptotic behavior of the solutions of (12) in , we define the following functions, and for , where , , and are continuous and the right-hand derivative exists along solutions of (12). Let be a solution of (12), we may assume that , , for a given and a sufficiently small . Then,

where is defined as

If , from (12) we have

And we obtain

According to the definition of , we have

Then if , we obtain

or

Since and , we conclude that . Therefore, if , .

Similarly, we can testify that imples , and implies . If , then . Denote

Both and are continuous and non-negative for . Notice that , . Let

then we have

According to the LaSalle invariant set principle, any solution of (12) starting in will approach . And . But if , by Lemma 6 we know that . Then we conclude that any solution of (12), such that , satisfies , so is globally attractive in .

Conjecture 9. *Consider system (12) and suppose . Then the infection equilibrium, , is globally asymptotically stable in .*

#### 5. Numerical Examples

In this section, some numerical simulations are given to support our results. To demonstrate the global stability of the infection-free solution of system (3), we take the following set of parameter values: , , , , , , which runs on a scale-free network with and . In this case, we have . The time plots of the four relative densities are plotted in Figure 3, from which it can be seen that the virus would die out.

To demonstrate the global attractivity of the viral equilibrium of system (3), we take the following set of parameter values: , , , , , , which runs on a scale-free network with and . In this case, we have . The time plots of the four relative densities are plotted in Figure 4, from which it can be seen that the virus would persist.

Consider system (12) with , , , , , and . For , Figure 5 demonstrates how evolves with time. It can be seen that smaller exponent favors virus spreading.

#### 6. Conclusions

To clearly understand how the Internet topology affects the spread of computer viruses, a new model capturing the epidemics of computer viruses on scale-free networks has been proposed. The basic reproduction number of the model has been calculated. The global asymptotic stability of the virus-free equilibrium has been shown when is below one, and the global attractivity of the viral equilibrium has been proved if is above one. Our future work will focus on establishing impulsive models on complex networks and studying the effect of impulsive immunization on computer virus propagation.

#### Acknowledgments

The work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant no. 61304117, the Natural Science Foundation of the Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions of China under Grant no. 13KJB520008, the doctorate teacher support project of JiangSu Normal University under Grant no. 12XLR021.

#### References

- J. O. Kephart and S. R. White, “Directed-graph epidemiological models of computer viruses,” in
*Proceedings of the IEEE Computer Society Symposium on Research in Security and Privacy*, pp. 343–359, May 1991. View at Scopus - B. K. Mishra and N. Jha, “SEIQRS model for the transmission of malicious objects in computer network,”
*Applied Mathematical Modelling*, vol. 34, no. 3, pp. 710–715, 2010. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet - J. R. C. Piqueira, A. A. de Vasconcelos, C. E. C. J. Gabriel, and V. O. Araujo, “Dynamic models for computer viruses,”
*Computers and Security*, vol. 27, no. 7-8, pp. 355–359, 2008. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus - J. Ren, X. Yang, L.-X. Yang, Y. Xu, and F. Yang, “A delayed computer virus propagation model and its dynamics,”
*Chaos, Solitons & Fractals*, vol. 45, no. 1, pp. 74–79, 2012. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet - X. Fu, M. Small, D. M. Walker, and H. Zhang, “Epidemic dynamics on scale-free networks with piecewise linear infectivity and immunization,”
*Physical Review E*, vol. 77, no. 3, Article ID 036113, 8 pages, 2008. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at MathSciNet - T. Zhou, J. G. Liu, W. J. Bai, G. R. Chen, and B. H. Wang, “Bahaviors of susceptible-infected epidemics on scale-free networks with identical infectivity,”
*Physical Review E*, vol. 74, no. 5, Article ID 056109, 6 pages, 2006. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar - L.-X. Yang and X. Yang, “Propagation behavior of virus codes in the situation that infected computers are connected to the internet with positive probability,”
*Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society*, vol. 2012, Article ID 693695, 13 pages, 2012. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet - L.-X. Yang, X. Yang, L. Wen, and J. Liu, “A novel computer virus propagation model and its dynamics,”
*International Journal of Computer Mathematics*, vol. 89, no. 17, pp. 2307–2314, 2012. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet - L.-X. Yang, X. Yang, Q. Zhu, and L. Wen, “A computer virus model with graded cure rates,”
*Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications*, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 414–422, 2013. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet - L.-X. Yang and X. Yang, “The spread of computer viruses under the influence of removable storage devices,”
*Applied Mathematics and Computation*, vol. 219, no. 8, pp. 3914–3922, 2012. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at MathSciNet - C. Gan, X. Yang, Q. Zhu, J. Jin, and L. He, “The spread of computer virus under the effect of external computers,”
*Nonlinear Dynamics*, vol. 73, no. 3, pp. 1615–1620, 2013. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar - C. Gan, X. Yang, W. Liu, Q. Zhu, and X. Zhang, “An epidemic model of computer viruses with vaccination and generalized nonlinear incidence rate,”
*Applied Mathematics and Computation*, vol. 222, pp. 265–274, 2013. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at MathSciNet - C. Gan, X. Yang, W. Liu, and Q. Zhu, “A propagation model of computer virus with nonlinear vaccination probability,”
*Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation*, vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 92–100, 2014. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar - Q. Zhu, X. Yang, L. X. Yang, and X. Zhang, “A mixing propagation model of computer viruses and countermeasures,”
*Nonlinear Dynamics*, vol. 73, no. 3, pp. 1433–1441, 2013. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar - Q. Zhu, X. Yang, L.-X. Yang, and C. Zhang, “Optimal control of computer virus under a delayed model,”
*Applied Mathematics and Computation*, vol. 218, no. 23, pp. 11613–11619, 2012. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at MathSciNet - A. Lajmanovich and J. A. Yorke, “A deterministic model for gonorrhea in a nonhomogeneous population,”
*Mathematical Biosciences*, vol. 28, no. 3-4, pp. 221–236, 1976. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet - M. Faloutsos, P. Faloutsos, and C. Faloutsos, “On power-law relationships of the internet topology,”
*Computer Communication Review*, vol. 29, no. 4, pp. 251–262, 1999. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar - H. J. Shi, Z. S. Duan, and G. R. Chen, “An SIS model with infective medium on complex networks,”
*Physica A*, vol. 387, no. 8-9, pp. 2133–2144, 2008. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar - A. d'Onofrio, “A note on the global behaviour of the network-based SIS epidemic model,”
*Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications*, vol. 9, no. 4, pp. 1567–1572, 2008. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet - M. Yang, G. Chen, and X. Fu, “A modified SIS model with an infective medium on complex networks and its global stability,”
*Physica A*, vol. 390, no. 12, pp. 2408–2413, 2011. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus - L. Wen and J. Zhong, “Global asymptotic stability and a property of the SIS model on bipartite networks,”
*Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications*, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 967–976, 2012. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet - L.-X. Yang, X. Yang, J. Liu, Q. Zhu, and C. Gan, “Epidemics of computer viruses: s complex-network approach,”
*Applied Mathematics and Computation*, vol. 219, no. 16, pp. 8705–8717, 2013. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at MathSciNet - R. Albert and A.-L. Barabási, “Statistical mechanics of complex networks,”
*Reviews of Modern Physics*, vol. 74, no. 1, pp. 47–97, 2002. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet - R. Pastor-Satorras and A. Vespignani, “Epidemic spreading in scale-free networks,”
*Physical Review Letters*, vol. 86, no. 14, pp. 3200–3203, 2001. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus - Z. Dezső and A. L. Barabási, “Halting viruses in scale-free networks,”
*Physical Review E*, vol. 65, no. 5, Article ID 055103, 4 pages, 2002. View at Google Scholar - L. Billings, W. M. Spears, and I. B. Schwartz, “A unified prediction of computer virus spread in connected networks,”
*Physics Letters A*, vol. 297, no. 3-4, pp. 261–266, 2002. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet - C. Castellano and R. Pastor-Satorras, “Thresholds for epidemic spreading in networks,”
*Physical Review Letters*, vol. 105, no. 21, Article ID 218701, 4 pages, 2010. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus - M. Draief, A. Ganesh, and L. Massoulié, “Thresholds for virus spread on networks,”
*The Annals of Applied Probability*, vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 359–378, 2008. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet - Y. Wang, Z. Jin, Z. Yang, Z.-K. Zhang, T. Zhou, and G.-Q. Sun, “Global analysis of an SIS model with an infective vector on complex networks,”
*Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications*, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 543–557, 2012. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Zentralblatt MATH · View at MathSciNet