Structural Analysis and Total Coal Demand Forecast in China

Table 3

Accuracy of forecast models on sector by ETS method.

	AFAFW	IND	CON	TSP	WRHC	OS	HC	TO
AIC	310.7869	469.4980	239.2015	272.4609	308.5274	328.7655	371.5486	474.7963
AICc	311.4536	471.9980	241.7015	274.9609	311.0274	329.4321	372.2153	477.2963
BIC	312.8760	473.6761	243.3796	276.6390	312.7055	330.8545	373.6377	478.9744
ME	−0.1636	1297.1479	0.2783	5.3547	−21.8557	45.5007	−105.4612	1903.6901
RMSE	324.4691	12910.3640	53.6530	154.4569	309.8943	497.8256	1540.4774	14646.2092
MAE	255.6755	10635.7804	39.6210	115.8266	272.7594	365.0402	1081.5817	11811.2234
MPE	−4.0490	−0.2898	−1.0556	−0.8693	−10.5543	−6.4377	−1.9142	−0.1609
MAPE	15.7232	9.8982	7.7865	8.7576	27.1766	30.0246	9.6963	9.3149
MASE	0.7907	0.7024	0.8702	0.7315	1.1268	0.9915	0.9609	0.7435