Research Article

Mathematical Development and Evaluation of Forecasting Models for Accuracy of Inflation in Developing Countries: A Case of Vietnam

Table 9

Evaluating models with RMP forecasting errors.

ModelsARIMAGM(1,1)VERHULSTDGM(1,1)DGM(2,1)

MAPE6.13% 12.30%19.09%12.00%12.49%
MSE0.033 0.0740.5760.0720.166
RMSE0.182 0.2730.7590.2690.408
MAD0.144 0.2260.6490.2190.332
EvaluationExcellent GoodPoorGoodReasonable