Research Article
SARIMA-Orthogonal Polynomial Curve Fitting Model for Medium-Term Load Forecasting
Table 2
The parameters estimate of the ARIMA model.
| | ARIMA model | | AR(1) | AR(2) | AR(11) | SAR(1) |
| | Coefficient
(-statistic) | −0.742
(−3.265) | −0.225
(−1.699) | 0.345
(4.954) | 0.543
(4.956) | | Coefficient
(-statistic) | −0.368
(−2.353) | −0.277
(−2.488) | — | −0.660
(−3.991) |
| | | | MA(1) | MA(11) | MA(13) | SMA(1) |
| | Coefficient
(-statistic) | −1.148
(−17.508) | −0.421
(−6.468) | 0.536
(7.110) | 0.401
(1.638) | | Coefficient
(-statistic) | 0.614
(5.127) | 0.341
(3.251) | — | — |
| | | | AIC | SC | |
| | 0.677 | 12.991 | 13.206 | | | 0.397 | 13.460 | 13.588 | |
|
|
