Research Article
Bayesian Estimation of Ammunition Demand Based on Multinomial Distribution
Table 3
Posterior statistics of parameters
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| Parameter | n | Mean | SD | MC error | Median | 97.5% CrI |
| theta_1 | 4500 | 0.1997 | 0.1632 | 0.0026 | 0.1603 | (0.006, 0.609) | theta_2 | 4500 | 0.2009 | 0.1635 | 0.0023 | 0.1607 | (0.005, 0.608) | theta_3 | 4500 | 0.1991 | 0.1637 | 0.0023 | 0.1591 | (0.006, 0.600) | theta_4 | 4500 | 0.2017 | 0.1645 | 0.0025 | 0.1591 | (0.007, 0.601) | theta_5 | 4500 | 0.1986 | 0.1631 | 0.0024 | 0.1575 | (0.006, 0.595) |
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