Analysis and Warning Model of Logistics Risks of Cross-Border E-Commerce

Table 1

Value assignment to origin nodes.

Name of the node	Prior probability (%)
	Occurrence	Nonoccurrence
Resource shortage	1	99
Climate change	1	99
Government intervention	5	95
Exchange rate change	2	98
Interest rate change	2	98
Organizational planning	3	97
Organizational decision	3	97
Personnel flow	2	98
Personnel quality	5	95
Personnel communication	8	92
Transport vehicles	5	95
Transport routes	6	94
Warehouse problem	8	92
Information timeliness	15	85
Information accuracy	20	80
Export commodity quantity	10	90
Commodity quality	30	70
Commodity price	20	80
Commodity quantity	10	90
Tax rate	10	90