Interest Rate Liberalization and Firm Leverage in China: Effects and Channels
Table 4
Average impact of the interest rate liberalization on firms’ leverage ratios.
Panel A: baseline regression results
Variables
Lev
Lev
Slev
Llev
Slev
Llev
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Irlib1
−0.4397
−0.3549
−0.0706
(−5.44)
(−4.61)
(−1.66)
Irlib2
−0.2197
−0.1773
−0.0353
(−5.44)
(−4.61)
(−1.66)
Size
0.0620
0.0620
0.0228
0.0384
0.0228
0.0384
(12.01)
(12.01)
(4.39)
(14.93)
(4.39)
(14.93)
ROA
0.0117
0.0117
0.0118
0.0025
0.0118
0.0025
(6.52)
(6.52)
(6.99)
(2.51)
(6.99)
(2.51)
MB
0.5306
0.5306
0.8266
−0.1672
0.8266
−0.1672
(1.96)
(1.96)
(3.31)
(−1.18)
(3.31)
(−1.18)
NDTS
0.0680
0.0680
−0.0079
0.0720
−0.0079
0.0720
(2.61)
(2.61)
(−0.33)
(4.39)
(−0.33)
(4.39)
PPE
−0.6571
−0.6571
−0.4986
−0.1843
−0.4986
−0.1843
(−21.07)
(−21.07)
(−17.32)
(−9.82)
(−17.32)
(−9.82)
Cflow
−0.0152
−0.0152
0.0491
−0.0626
0.0491
−0.0626
(−0.80)
(−0.80)
(2.64)
(−5.96)
(2.64)
(−5.96)
Capex
−0.1655
−0.1655
−0.3587
0.1793
−0.3587
0.1793
(−5.01)
(−5.01)
(−10.73)
(8.98)
(−10.73)
(8.98)
Grow
0.0248
0.0248
0.0243
−0.0021
0.0243
−0.0021
(6.39)
(6.39)
(6.44)
(−0.97)
(6.44)
(−0.97)
Meci
−0.6457
−0.6457
−0.8898
0.1436
−0.8898
0.1436
(−2.27)
(−2.27)
(−3.16)
(0.82)
(−3.16)
(0.82)
Constant
2.4091
2.2453
4.2671
−1.3904
4.1349
−1.4167
(1.85)
(1.70)
(3.32)
(−1.73)
(3.18)
(−1.74)
Firm effects
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Year effects
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
N
17956
17956
17956
17956
17956
17956
Adj-R2
0.1466
0.1466
0.0988
0.1330
0.0988
0.1330
Panel B: difference analysis results
Coefficient
p-value
Conclusion
Irlib1
βIrlib1⟶Slevvs.βIrlib1⟶Llev = −0.3549vs. −0.0706
p ≤ 0.001
βIrlib1⟶Slev < βIrlib1⟶Llev
Irlib2
βIrlib2⟶Slevvs.βIrlib2⟶Llev = −0.1773vs. −0.0353
p ≤ 0.001
βIrlib1⟶Slev < βIrlib1⟶Llev
Note. ,, and indicate statistical significance at 1 percent, 5 percent, and 10 percent, respectively. Two alternative measures of interest rate liberalization are used in Table 4. The t-statistics are in parentheses, we calculate them on the basis of standard errors that are robust to heteroscedasticity.