Research Article

Dynamic Changes, Cut-Off Points, Sensitivity, and Specificity of Laboratory Data to Differentiate Macrophage Activation Syndrome from Active Disease

Table 5

The results of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for dynamic variables.

ROC-AUC valueCut-off valueSensitivitySpecificity95% confidence interval

WBC1-WBC2 (×103/uL)0.730.004357070%77%0.59–0.88
WBC3-WBC2 (×103/uL)0.84<0.00119578%77%0.7–0.98
PMN1-PMN2 (×103/uL)0.690.02193873%70%0.53–0.86
PMN3-PMN2 (×103/uL)0.90<0.001−24384%86%0.81–0.99
Lymph1-Lymph2 (×103/uL)0.650.09
Lymph3-Lymph2 (×103/uL)0.650.08
Hgb1-Hgb2 (g/dL)0.720.0080.5576%68%0.58–0.85
Hgb3-Hgb2 (g/dL)0.520.8
PLT1-PLT2 (/microliter)0.780.0013000082%60%0.67–0.90
PL3-PLT2 (/microliter)0.92<0.0019700078%90%0.85–1.00
ESR1-ESR2 (mm/h)0.690.02964%56%0.54–0.85
ESR3-ESR2 (mm/h)0.800.0024.575%86%0.63–0.97
CRP1-CRP2 (mg/L)0.770.00342.576%67%0.64–0.89
CRP3-CRP2 (mg/L)0.530.5

ROC-AUC: receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve, MAS: Macrophage Activation Syndrome, WBC: white blood cells, PMN: polymorphonuclear, Lymph: lymphocytes, Hgb: hemoglobin, PLT: platelet, ESR: erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and CRP: C-reactive protein. The previous laboratory records: WBC1, PMN1, and so forth. The laboratory data at the onset of MAS (MAS group) or active rheumatologic disease (control group): WBC2, PMN2, and so forth. The laboratory data 1 month after discharge from the hospital: WBC3, PMN3, and so forth.