A New Scoring System to Predict Poor Clinical Outcomes in Acute Nonvariceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Patients with High-Risk Stigmata

Table 5

The combination of variables that yielded the highest AUC value with sensitivity and specificity.

Number of variable	Variables for rebleeding	AUC	Cut-off	Sensitivity	Specificity
1	HB < 85 g/L	0.67	1	57.9	75.4
2	Scr > 100 μmol/L	0.74	1	76.3	71.3
	HB < 85 g/L		2	21.1	94.2
3	Scr > 100 μmol/L	0.76	1	100	10.5
	HB < 85 g/L		2	71.1	77.8
	Monotherapy		3	18.4	95.3
4	Scr > 100 μmol/L	0.78	1	100	7.6
	BUN > 9.5 mmol/L		2	94.7	43.9
	HB < 85 g/L		3	52.6	88.3
	Monotherapy		4	15.8	95.3
5	Scr > 100 μmol/L	0.79	1	100	7.6
	BUN > 9.5 mmol/L		2	94.7	42.7
	HB < 85 g/L		3	57.9	86.0
	Monotherapy		4	23.7	95.3
	SBP < 90 mmHg		5	—	—

HB: hemoglobin; BUN: blood urea nitrogen; Scr: serum creatinine; SBP: systolic blood pressure; monotherapy was defined as mechanical or thermal hemostasis.