Research Article
Serum Creatinine Level and APACHE-II Score within 24 h of Admission Are Effective for Predicting Persistent Organ Failure in Acute Pancreatitis
Table 2
Admission serum BUN, creatinine, glucose, and hematocrit levels and APACHE-II score as markers for persistent organ failure.
| Laboratory markers | Persistent organ failure | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | Positive predictive value (%) | Negative predictive value (%) | AUC | Yes | No |
| BUN | | | | | | | | ≥20 | 120 | 270 | 38 | 85 | 31 | 89 | 62 | <20 | 194 | 1506 | | | | | | Creatinine | | | | | | | | ≥1.8 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 98 | 60 | 87 | 58 | <1.8 | 259 | 1739 | | | | | | Glucose | | | | | | | | ≥7.1 | 233 | 845 | 74 | 52 | 22 | 92 | 63 | <7.1 | 81 | 931 | | | | | | Hematocrit | | | | | | | | ≥44 | 140 | 475 | 45 | 73 | 23 | 88 | 59 | <44 | 174 | 1301 | | | | | | APACHE-II | | | | | | | | ≥8 | 173 | 366 | 55 | 79 | 32 | 91 | 67 | <8 | 141 | 1410 | | | | | |
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