Research Article

Nomograms Predicting the Occurrence of Sepsis in Patients following Major Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery

Table 3

Clinical characteristics and inflammation biomarkers of patients in the validation cohort. Data are shown as the or median (P25 and P75).

VariableValidation cohort
Sepsis (-), Sepsis (+),

Age0.04
Sex
 Male83140.81
 Female345
Perioperative blood transfusion
 Yes3312≤0.001
 No847
ASA scores
 1400.04
 29512
 3175
 411
 501
Diabetes
 Yes1550.16
 No10214
BMI0.56
Operative time265 (190-345)395 (330-485)≤0.001
Intraoperative blood loss300 (150-500)300 (300-500)0.10
Preoperative ALT39.5 (19.6-116.6)57 (26.9-117.5)0.52
Preoperative AST35 (20-79.1)47.6 (17.9-104.85)0.77
Preoperative direct bilirubin4.6 (3.2-14.9)14.8 (5.05-144.75)0.03
Inflammation biomarkers
 IL-1 (pg/ml)5 (5-5)5 (5-5)0.31
 IL-2 (U/ml)805 (591-1053)1226 (978-1963)≤0.001
 IL-6 (pg/ml)64.6 (37.5-154)151 (97.75-350.5)0.01
 IL-8 (pg/ml)96 (36.9-187)112 (81.95-231.5)0.27
 IL-10 (pg/ml)5 (5-5)6.57 (5-11.5)0.25
 TNF-α (pg/ml)14 (10.2-25.8)22.2 (17.8-35.25)0.02
 PCT (ng/ml)0.544 (0.26-0.911)1.23 (0.89-2.43)≤0.001
 CRP (mg/dl)3.28 (1.75-5.18)5.93 (3.88-13.1)≤0.001
 NLR10.96 (7.87-16.96)9.51 (4.72-12.49)0.18

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