Research Article
Prediction and Risk Factors for Prognosis of Cirrhotic Patients with Hepatic Encephalopathy
Table 2
Diagnostic accuracies of Child-Pugh, ALBI, MELD, MELD-Na, and NLR scores.
| Prognostic model | Area under the ROC curve | Criterion value | Sensitivity | Specificity | Positive LR | Negative LR | Positive PV | Negative PV | value |
| The whole patients | Child-Pugh | 0.681 (95% CI: 0.626-0.733) | 10.0 | 79.7 | 46.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 28.3 | 89.5 | <0.0001 | ALBI | 0.615 (95% CI: 0.558-0.670) | -1.3 | 76.6 | 44.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 26.8 | 87.6 | 0.0030 | MELD | 0.630 (95% CI: 0.573-0.684) | 19.0 | 76.6 | 52.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 30.1 | 89.4 | 0.0005 | MELD-Na | 0.640 (95% CI: 0.583-0.694) | 20.0 | 81.3 | 45.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 28.6 | 90.2 | 0.0002 | NLR | 0.664 (95% CI: 0.608-0.717) | 7.2 | 53.1 | 79.2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 40.5 | 86.4 | <0.0001 | ACLF subgroup | Child-Pugh | 0.621 (95% CI: 0.533-0.703) | 11.0 | 76.3 | 41.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 34.1 | 81.2 | 0.0165 | ALBI | 0.578 (95% CI: 0.489-0.663) | -1.3 | 89.5 | 28.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 33.3 | 87.1 | 0.1487 | MELD | 0.531 (95% CI: 0.443-0.618) | 27.0 | 65.8 | 51.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 35.2 | 79.0 | 0.5870 | MELD-Na | 0.500 (95% CI: 0.412-0.588) | 27.0 | 52.6 | 59.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 33.9 | 75.7 | 0.9963 | NLR | 0.701 (95% CI: 0.616-0.778) | 7.2 | 60.5 | 82.1 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 57.5 | 83.9 | 0.0003 |
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Abbreviations: ACLF: acute-on-chronic liver failure; ALBI: albumin to bilirubin; CI: confidence interval; HE: hepatic encephalopathy; LR: likelihood ratio; MELD: model for end-stage liver diseases; MELD-Na: model for end-stage liver diseases-sodium; NLR: neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; PV: predictive value; ROC: receiver operating characteristic. Note: value < 0.05. |